Stock Price Trends

Knowles Cor (KN)

Knowles Corporation designs, manufactures and sells microacoustic, audio processing and precision device solutions for the mobile consumer electronics, communications, medical technology, defense, electric and industrial vehicle markets. The company is headquartered in Itasca, Illinois.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 71.76% per annum.
  • KN price at the close of April 29, 2025 was $15.98 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $1.07 (7.14%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 1,210.95% per annum.
  • KN price at the close of April 29, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
  • The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of KN price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: December 23, 2024
End date: April 23, 2025

a = 8.9417

b = -0.0035

s = 0.0417

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0035) – 1
= -71.76%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0417) – 1
= 18.18%

December 23, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,170)
= Exp(a + b × X1,170 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,698 + 2 × s)
= Exp(8.9417 + -0.0035 × 1,698 + 2 × 0.0417)
= Exp(3.1423)
= $23.16

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,170)
= Exp(a + b × X1,170 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,698 – 2 × s)
= Exp(8.9417 + -0.0035 × 1,698 – 2 × 0.0417)
= Exp(2.9753)
= $19.60

April 23, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,251)
= Exp(a + b × X1,251 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,819 + 2 × s)
= Exp(8.9417 + -0.0035 × 1,819 + 2 × 0.0417)
= Exp(2.7231)
= $15.23

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,251)
= Exp(a + b × X1,251 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,819 – 2 × s)
= Exp(8.9417 + -0.0035 × 1,819 – 2 × 0.0417)
= Exp(2.5561)
= $12.89

Description

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 71.76% per annum.
  • KN price at the close of April 29, 2025 was $15.98 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $1.07 (7.14%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.

Secondary Trend

Start date: April 3, 2025
End date: April 29, 2025

a = -10.1004

b = 0.0071

s = 0.0419

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0071) – 1
= 1,210.95%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0419) – 1
= 18.23%

April 3, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,238)
= Exp(a + b × X1,238 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,799 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-10.1004 + 0.0071 × 1,799 + 2 × 0.0419)
= Exp(2.6667)
= $14.39

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,238)
= Exp(a + b × X1,238 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,799 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-10.1004 + 0.0071 × 1,799 – 2 × 0.0419)
= Exp(2.4992)
= $12.17

April 29, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-10.1004 + 0.0071 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0419)
= Exp(2.8500)
= $17.29

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-10.1004 + 0.0071 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0419)
= Exp(2.6825)
= $14.62

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 1,210.95% per annum.
  • KN price at the close of April 29, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.