Amphenol Corporation (APH)
Amphenol Corporation is a major producer of electronic and fiber optic connectors, cable and interconnect systems such as coaxial cables. Amphenol is a portmanteau from the corporation's original name, American Phenolic Corp.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 41.04% per annum.
- APH price at the close of June 13, 2025 was $92.49 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 409.92% per annum.
- APH price at the close of June 13, 2025 was lower than the bottom border of the secondary price channel by $0.11 (0.12%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of APH price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: September 15, 2022
End date: February 20, 2025
a = 2.7016
b = 0.0009
s = 0.0721
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0009) – 1
= 41.04%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0721) – 1
= 33.44%
September 15, 2022 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y568)
= Exp(a + b × X568 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 822 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.7016 + 0.0009 × 822 + 2 × 0.0721)
= Exp(3.6202)
= $37.35
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y568)
= Exp(a + b × X568 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 822 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.7016 + 0.0009 × 822 – 2 × 0.0721)
= Exp(3.3317)
= $27.99
February 20, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,177)
= Exp(a + b × X1,177 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,711 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.7016 + 0.0009 × 1,711 + 2 × 0.0721)
= Exp(4.4577)
= $86.29
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,177)
= Exp(a + b × X1,177 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,711 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.7016 + 0.0009 × 1,711 – 2 × 0.0721)
= Exp(4.1692)
= $64.66
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 41.04% per annum.
- APH price at the close of June 13, 2025 was $92.49 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: April 24, 2025
End date: June 12, 2025
a = -3.5828
b = 0.0045
s = 0.0149
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0045) – 1
= 409.92%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0149) – 1
= 6.13%
April 24, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,221)
= Exp(a + b × X1,221 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,774 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-3.5828 + 0.0045 × 1,774 + 2 × 0.0149)
= Exp(4.3647)
= $78.62
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,221)
= Exp(a + b × X1,221 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,774 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-3.5828 + 0.0045 × 1,774 – 2 × 0.0149)
= Exp(4.3052)
= $74.08
June 12, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-3.5828 + 0.0045 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0149)
= Exp(4.5834)
= $97.84
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-3.5828 + 0.0045 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0149)
= Exp(4.5239)
= $92.19
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 409.92% per annum.
- APH price at the close of June 13, 2025 was lower than the bottom border of the secondary price channel by $0.11 (0.12%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.