Stock Price Trends

Belden Inc (BDC)

Belden Inc. is a global leader in signal transmission solutions, providing a wide range of products and services designed to enhance connectivity and data transmission across various industries. Headquartered in St. Louis, Missouri, the company operates in key markets including the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia-Pacific region, underscoring its international presence and commitment to innovation. With a focus on high-performance networking and connectivity solutions, Belden serves customers in sectors such as industrial, commercial, and broadcast, positioning itself as an essential partner in the evolving landscape of digital communication.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 86.89% per annum.
  • BDC price at the close of October 17, 2025 was $112.49 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 73.44% per annum.
  • BDC price at the close of October 17, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of BDC price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: September 11, 2025
End date: October 17, 2025

a = 14.8550

b = -0.0056

s = 0.0190

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0056) – 1
= -86.89%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0190) – 1
= 7.88%

September 11, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,229)
= Exp(a + b × X1,229 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,788 + 2 × s)
= Exp(14.8550 + -0.0056 × 1,788 + 2 × 0.0190)
= Exp(4.9394)
= $139.69

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,229)
= Exp(a + b × X1,229 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,788 – 2 × s)
= Exp(14.8550 + -0.0056 × 1,788 – 2 × 0.0190)
= Exp(4.8636)
= $129.48

October 17, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 + 2 × s)
= Exp(14.8550 + -0.0056 × 1,824 + 2 × 0.0190)
= Exp(4.7390)
= $114.32

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 – 2 × s)
= Exp(14.8550 + -0.0056 × 1,824 – 2 × 0.0190)
= Exp(4.6632)
= $105.97

Description

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 86.89% per annum.
  • BDC price at the close of October 17, 2025 was $112.49 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: October 1, 2025
End date: October 17, 2025

a = 11.3358

b = -0.0036

s = 0.0147

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0036) – 1
= -73.44%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0147) – 1
= 6.08%

October 1, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,243)
= Exp(a + b × X1,243 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,808 + 2 × s)
= Exp(11.3358 + -0.0036 × 1,808 + 2 × 0.0147)
= Exp(4.7991)
= $121.40

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,243)
= Exp(a + b × X1,243 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,808 – 2 × s)
= Exp(11.3358 + -0.0036 × 1,808 – 2 × 0.0147)
= Exp(4.7401)
= $114.45

October 17, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 + 2 × s)
= Exp(11.3358 + -0.0036 × 1,824 + 2 × 0.0147)
= Exp(4.7410)
= $114.55

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 – 2 × s)
= Exp(11.3358 + -0.0036 × 1,824 – 2 × 0.0147)
= Exp(4.6820)
= $107.99

Description

  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 73.44% per annum.
  • BDC price at the close of October 17, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.