Assurant Inc (AIZ)
Assurant, Inc. (AIZ) is a leading global provider of risk management solutions offering a diverse portfolio of products and services designed to protect clients and consumers across various sectors. Headquartered in New York City, the company specializes in providing insurance and related services, focusing on sectors such as mobile devices, housing, and health. With a commitment to innovation and customer satisfaction, Assurant leverages its expertise to deliver tailored solutions that address the evolving needs of its clients, positioning itself as a trusted partner in the insurance industry.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 33.30% per annum.
- AIZ price at the close of December 1, 2025 was $225.43 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $9.60 (4.08%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 16.03% per annum.
- AIZ price at the close of December 1, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of AIZ price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: November 2, 2022
End date: April 2, 2025
a = 4.1454
b = 0.0008
s = 0.0614
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0008) – 1
= 33.30%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0614) – 1
= 27.86%
November 2, 2022 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y483)
= Exp(a + b × X483 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 700 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.1454 + 0.0008 × 700 + 2 × 0.0614)
= Exp(4.8195)
= $123.90
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y483)
= Exp(a + b × X483 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 700 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.1454 + 0.0008 × 700 – 2 × 0.0614)
= Exp(4.5738)
= $96.91
April 2, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,087)
= Exp(a + b × X1,087 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,582 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.1454 + 0.0008 × 1,582 + 2 × 0.0614)
= Exp(5.5141)
= $248.16
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,087)
= Exp(a + b × X1,087 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,582 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.1454 + 0.0008 × 1,582 – 2 × 0.0614)
= Exp(5.2683)
= $194.10
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 33.30% per annum.
- AIZ price at the close of December 1, 2025 was $225.43 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $9.60 (4.08%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
Secondary Trend
Start date: November 1, 2023
End date: December 1, 2025
a = 4.6478
b = 0.0004
s = 0.0584
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0004) – 1
= 16.03%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0584) – 1
= 26.33%
November 1, 2023 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y733)
= Exp(a + b × X733 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,064 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.6478 + 0.0004 × 1,064 + 2 × 0.0584)
= Exp(5.1982)
= $180.95
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y733)
= Exp(a + b × X733 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,064 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.6478 + 0.0004 × 1,064 – 2 × 0.0584)
= Exp(4.9645)
= $143.23
December 1, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.6478 + 0.0004 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0584)
= Exp(5.5083)
= $246.73
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.6478 + 0.0004 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0584)
= Exp(5.2745)
= $195.30
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 16.03% per annum.
- AIZ price at the close of December 1, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.