Genworth Financial Inc (GNW)
Genworth Financial, Inc. is a leading provider of insurance and financial solutions, focusing primarily on long-term care insurance, mortgage insurance, and life insurance products. Headquartered in Richmond, Virginia, the company serves a diverse clientele across the United States and internationally, positioning itself as a key player in the financial services sector. With a commitment to enhancing the financial security of its customers, Genworth utilizes innovative approaches to address evolving market needs and challenges.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 97.51% per annum.
- GNW price at the close of October 17, 2025 was $8.55 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $0.13 (1.45%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 51.59% per annum.
- GNW price at the close of October 17, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of GNW price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: April 4, 2025
End date: October 8, 2025
a = -1.1773
b = 0.0019
s = 0.0317
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0019) – 1
= 97.51%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0317) – 1
= 13.52%
April 4, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,120)
= Exp(a + b × X1,120 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,628 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-1.1773 + 0.0019 × 1,628 + 2 × 0.0317)
= Exp(1.9219)
= $6.83
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,120)
= Exp(a + b × X1,120 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,628 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-1.1773 + 0.0019 × 1,628 – 2 × 0.0317)
= Exp(1.7951)
= $6.02
October 8, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,248)
= Exp(a + b × X1,248 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,815 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-1.1773 + 0.0019 × 1,815 + 2 × 0.0317)
= Exp(2.2706)
= $9.69
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,248)
= Exp(a + b × X1,248 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,815 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-1.1773 + 0.0019 × 1,815 – 2 × 0.0317)
= Exp(2.1438)
= $8.53
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 97.51% per annum.
- GNW price at the close of October 17, 2025 was $8.55 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $0.13 (1.45%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
Secondary Trend
Start date: September 19, 2025
End date: October 17, 2025
a = 5.7774
b = -0.0020
s = 0.0101
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0020) – 1
= -51.59%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0101) – 1
= 4.13%
September 19, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,235)
= Exp(a + b × X1,235 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,796 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.7774 + -0.0020 × 1,796 + 2 × 0.0101)
= Exp(2.2283)
= $9.28
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,235)
= Exp(a + b × X1,235 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,796 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.7774 + -0.0020 × 1,796 – 2 × 0.0101)
= Exp(2.1879)
= $8.92
October 17, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.7774 + -0.0020 × 1,824 + 2 × 0.0101)
= Exp(2.1727)
= $8.78
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.7774 + -0.0020 × 1,824 – 2 × 0.0101)
= Exp(2.1322)
= $8.43
Description
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 51.59% per annum.
- GNW price at the close of October 17, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.