Arcadium Lithium plc (ALTM)
Altus Midstream Company owns gas collection, processing and transmission assets in the Permian Basin of West Texas. The company is headquartered in Houston, Texas.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 13,076.45% per annum.
- ALTM price at the close of May 8, 2024 was $4.57 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 9,247.59% per annum.
- ALTM price at the close of May 8, 2024 was inside the secondary price channel.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of ALTM price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: April 16, 2024
End date: May 7, 2024
a = -0.0971
b = 0.0134
s = 0.0347
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0134) – 1
= 13,076.45%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0347) – 1
= 14.87%
April 16, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y71)
= Exp(a + b × X71 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 104 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.0971 + 0.0134 × 104 + 2 × 0.0347)
= Exp(1.3630)
= $3.91
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y71)
= Exp(a + b × X71 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 104 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.0971 + 0.0134 × 104 – 2 × 0.0347)
= Exp(1.2244)
= $3.40
May 7, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y86)
= Exp(a + b × X86 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 125 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.0971 + 0.0134 × 125 + 2 × 0.0347)
= Exp(1.6438)
= $5.17
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y86)
= Exp(a + b × X86 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 125 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.0971 + 0.0134 × 125 – 2 × 0.0347)
= Exp(1.5052)
= $4.51
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 13,076.45% per annum.
- ALTM price at the close of May 8, 2024 was $4.57 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: April 16, 2024
End date: May 8, 2024
a = 0.0069
b = 0.0124
s = 0.0370
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0124) – 1
= 9,247.59%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0370) – 1
= 15.94%
April 16, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y71)
= Exp(a + b × X71 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 104 + 2 × s)
= Exp(0.0069 + 0.0124 × 104 + 2 × 0.0370)
= Exp(1.3738)
= $3.95
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y71)
= Exp(a + b × X71 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 104 – 2 × s)
= Exp(0.0069 + 0.0124 × 104 – 2 × 0.0370)
= Exp(1.2259)
= $3.41
May 8, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y87)
= Exp(a + b × X87 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 126 + 2 × s)
= Exp(0.0069 + 0.0124 × 126 + 2 × 0.0370)
= Exp(1.6473)
= $5.19
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y87)
= Exp(a + b × X87 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 126 – 2 × s)
= Exp(0.0069 + 0.0124 × 126 – 2 × 0.0370)
= Exp(1.4994)
= $4.48
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 9,247.59% per annum.
- ALTM price at the close of May 8, 2024 was inside the secondary price channel.