Ingevity Corp (NGVT)
Ingevity Corporation (NGVT) is a leading provider of specialty chemicals and innovative activated carbon solutions, serving diverse markets across North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific, the Middle East, Africa, and South America. Headquartered in North Charleston, South Carolina, the company focuses on developing sustainable products that enhance performance and reduce environmental impact. Ingevity's diverse portfolio includes technologies that improve air quality, enhance the performance of consumer and industrial applications, and support the adoption of renewable energy solutions, making it a key player in the transition to a more sustainable future.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 32.73% per annum.
- NGVT price at the close of November 26, 2025 was $52.17 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 49.72% per annum.
- NGVT price at the close of November 26, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of NGVT price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: August 2, 2024
End date: November 26, 2025
a = 2.5491
b = 0.0008
s = 0.1257
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0008) – 1
= 32.73%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.1257) – 1
= 65.31%
August 2, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y924)
= Exp(a + b × X924 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,344 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.5491 + 0.0008 × 1,344 + 2 × 0.1257)
= Exp(3.8430)
= $46.67
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y924)
= Exp(a + b × X924 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,344 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.5491 + 0.0008 × 1,344 – 2 × 0.1257)
= Exp(3.3404)
= $28.23
November 26, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.5491 + 0.0008 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.1257)
= Exp(4.2162)
= $67.77
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.5491 + 0.0008 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.1257)
= Exp(3.7135)
= $41.00
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 32.73% per annum.
- NGVT price at the close of November 26, 2025 was $52.17 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: August 22, 2025
End date: November 26, 2025
a = 7.3467
b = -0.0019
s = 0.0361
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0019) – 1
= -49.72%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0361) – 1
= 15.56%
August 22, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,188)
= Exp(a + b × X1,188 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,729 + 2 × s)
= Exp(7.3467 + -0.0019 × 1,729 + 2 × 0.0361)
= Exp(4.1620)
= $64.20
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,188)
= Exp(a + b × X1,188 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,729 – 2 × s)
= Exp(7.3467 + -0.0019 × 1,729 – 2 × 0.0361)
= Exp(4.0174)
= $55.56
November 26, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(7.3467 + -0.0019 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0361)
= Exp(3.9812)
= $53.58
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(7.3467 + -0.0019 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0361)
= Exp(3.8366)
= $46.37
Description
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 49.72% per annum.
- NGVT price at the close of November 26, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.