Ecolab Inc (ECL)
Ecolab Inc. (ECL), based in St. Paul, Minnesota, is a global leader in water, hygiene, and energy technologies and services. The company provides comprehensive solutions in water treatment, purification, and advanced cleaning systems across diverse sectors including food and beverage, healthcare, and hospitality. Ecolab's innovative approach not only enhances operational efficiency for its clients but also promotes sustainability by reducing water and energy consumption. With a strong commitment to environmental stewardship, Ecolab is positioned to meet the growing demands for responsible resource management in an increasingly complex regulatory landscape.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 34.02% per annum.
- ECL price at the close of November 26, 2025 was $274.99 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $37.67 (12.05%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 12.52% per annum.
- ECL price at the close of November 26, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of ECL price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: September 16, 2022
End date: December 17, 2024
a = 4.3790
b = 0.0008
s = 0.0491
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0008) – 1
= 34.02%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0491) – 1
= 21.68%
September 16, 2022 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y453)
= Exp(a + b × X453 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 658 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.3790 + 0.0008 × 658 + 2 × 0.0491)
= Exp(5.0051)
= $149.17
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y453)
= Exp(a + b × X453 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 658 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.3790 + 0.0008 × 658 – 2 × 0.0491)
= Exp(4.8088)
= $122.58
December 17, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,019)
= Exp(a + b × X1,019 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,481 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.3790 + 0.0008 × 1,481 + 2 × 0.0491)
= Exp(5.6654)
= $288.70
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,019)
= Exp(a + b × X1,019 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,481 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.3790 + 0.0008 × 1,481 – 2 × 0.0491)
= Exp(5.4691)
= $237.25
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 34.02% per annum.
- ECL price at the close of November 26, 2025 was $274.99 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $37.67 (12.05%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
Secondary Trend
Start date: February 13, 2024
End date: November 26, 2025
a = 5.0268
b = 0.0003
s = 0.0357
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0003) – 1
= 12.52%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0357) – 1
= 15.36%
February 13, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y806)
= Exp(a + b × X806 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,173 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.0268 + 0.0003 × 1,173 + 2 × 0.0357)
= Exp(5.4773)
= $239.19
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y806)
= Exp(a + b × X806 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,173 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.0268 + 0.0003 × 1,173 – 2 × 0.0357)
= Exp(5.3344)
= $207.35
November 26, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.0268 + 0.0003 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0357)
= Exp(5.6880)
= $295.29
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.0268 + 0.0003 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0357)
= Exp(5.5451)
= $255.98
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 12.52% per annum.
- ECL price at the close of November 26, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.