Axalta Coating Systems Ltd (AXTA)
Axalta Coating Systems Ltd. is a leading global manufacturer of high-performance coating systems, specializing in innovative solutions for a diverse range of industries including automotive, industrial, and architectural applications. Headquartered in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, Axalta operates across North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Asia Pacific, and Latin America, leveraging its extensive technical expertise and commitment to sustainability. With a strong portfolio of well-known brands, the company is well-positioned to capitalize on growth opportunities in the coatings market while continuing to enhance its product offerings and customer service capabilities.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 29.45% per annum.
- AXTA price at the close of October 24, 2025 was $29.04 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 887.77% per annum.
- AXTA price at the close of October 24, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of AXTA price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: October 30, 2024
End date: October 24, 2025
a = 5.0620
b = -0.0010
s = 0.0482
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0010) – 1
= -29.45%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0482) – 1
= 21.27%
October 30, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,008)
= Exp(a + b × X1,008 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,464 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.0620 + -0.0010 × 1,464 + 2 × 0.0482)
= Exp(3.7593)
= $42.92
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,008)
= Exp(a + b × X1,008 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,464 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.0620 + -0.0010 × 1,464 – 2 × 0.0482)
= Exp(3.5665)
= $35.39
October 24, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.0620 + -0.0010 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0482)
= Exp(3.4162)
= $30.45
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.0620 + -0.0010 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0482)
= Exp(3.2234)
= $25.11
Description
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 29.45% per annum.
- AXTA price at the close of October 24, 2025 was $29.04 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: October 9, 2025
End date: October 24, 2025
a = -8.0674
b = 0.0063
s = 0.0123
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0063) – 1
= 887.77%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0123) – 1
= 5.04%
October 9, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,243)
= Exp(a + b × X1,243 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,808 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-8.0674 + 0.0063 × 1,808 + 2 × 0.0123)
= Exp(3.3019)
= $27.17
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,243)
= Exp(a + b × X1,243 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,808 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-8.0674 + 0.0063 × 1,808 – 2 × 0.0123)
= Exp(3.2528)
= $25.86
October 24, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-8.0674 + 0.0063 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0123)
= Exp(3.3961)
= $29.85
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-8.0674 + 0.0063 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0123)
= Exp(3.3469)
= $28.41
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 887.77% per annum.
- AXTA price at the close of October 24, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.