Stock Price Trends

Element Solutions Inc (ESI)

Element Solutions Inc (ESI) is a leading global provider of specialty chemicals that serve a diverse range of industries, including electronics, industrial, and consumer markets. Headquartered in Fort Lauderdale, Florida, the company leverages advanced technology and innovative solutions to meet the evolving needs of its customers across the United States, China, and internationally. With a commitment to sustainability and operational excellence, Element Solutions is well-positioned to capitalize on growth opportunities in the specialty chemicals sector.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 79.85% per annum.
  • ESI price at the close of November 26, 2025 was $25.91 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $0.37 (1.40%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 26.57% per annum.
  • ESI price at the close of November 26, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of ESI price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: April 3, 2025
End date: November 13, 2025

a = 0.4188

b = 0.0016

s = 0.0424

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0016) – 1
= 79.85%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0424) – 1
= 18.49%

April 3, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,091)
= Exp(a + b × X1,091 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,588 + 2 × s)
= Exp(0.4188 + 0.0016 × 1,588 + 2 × 0.0424)
= Exp(3.0573)
= $21.27

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,091)
= Exp(a + b × X1,091 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,588 – 2 × s)
= Exp(0.4188 + 0.0016 × 1,588 – 2 × 0.0424)
= Exp(2.8876)
= $17.95

November 13, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,246)
= Exp(a + b × X1,246 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,812 + 2 × s)
= Exp(0.4188 + 0.0016 × 1,812 + 2 × 0.0424)
= Exp(3.4175)
= $30.49

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,246)
= Exp(a + b × X1,246 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,812 – 2 × s)
= Exp(0.4188 + 0.0016 × 1,812 – 2 × 0.0424)
= Exp(3.2478)
= $25.73

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 79.85% per annum.
  • ESI price at the close of November 26, 2025 was $25.91 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $0.37 (1.40%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.

Secondary Trend

Start date: July 2, 2025
End date: November 26, 2025

a = 2.1002

b = 0.0006

s = 0.0370

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0006) – 1
= 26.57%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0370) – 1
= 15.97%

July 2, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,152)
= Exp(a + b × X1,152 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,678 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.1002 + 0.0006 × 1,678 + 2 × 0.0370)
= Exp(3.2574)
= $25.98

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,152)
= Exp(a + b × X1,152 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,678 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.1002 + 0.0006 × 1,678 – 2 × 0.0370)
= Exp(3.1092)
= $22.40

November 26, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.1002 + 0.0006 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0370)
= Exp(3.3523)
= $28.57

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.1002 + 0.0006 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0370)
= Exp(3.2041)
= $24.63

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 26.57% per annum.
  • ESI price at the close of November 26, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.