RPM International Inc (RPM)
RPM International Inc. is a leading manufacturer and supplier of specialty chemicals that cater to a diverse range of markets, including consumer, industrial, and specialty applications. Headquartered in Medina, Ohio, RPM operates through various subsidiaries, offering innovative solutions in coatings, sealants, and other products that enhance performance and durability. With a commitment to sustainability and product development, RPM is well-positioned to capitalize on industry trends and meet the evolving needs of its global customer base. The company's strong financial performance and strategic acquisitions further bolster its competitive edge in the specialty chemicals sector.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 77.04% per annum.
- RPM price at the close of October 17, 2025 was $112.19 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $0.68 (0.61%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 59.97% per annum.
- RPM price at the close of October 17, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of RPM price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: September 5, 2025
End date: October 13, 2025
a = 12.0437
b = -0.0040
s = 0.0116
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0040) – 1
= -77.04%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0116) – 1
= 4.75%
September 5, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,225)
= Exp(a + b × X1,225 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,782 + 2 × s)
= Exp(12.0437 + -0.0040 × 1,782 + 2 × 0.0116)
= Exp(4.8835)
= $132.09
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,225)
= Exp(a + b × X1,225 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,782 – 2 × s)
= Exp(12.0437 + -0.0040 × 1,782 – 2 × 0.0116)
= Exp(4.8370)
= $126.09
October 13, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,251)
= Exp(a + b × X1,251 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,820 + 2 × s)
= Exp(12.0437 + -0.0040 × 1,820 + 2 × 0.0116)
= Exp(4.7303)
= $113.33
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,251)
= Exp(a + b × X1,251 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,820 – 2 × s)
= Exp(12.0437 + -0.0040 × 1,820 – 2 × 0.0116)
= Exp(4.6839)
= $108.19
Description
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 77.04% per annum.
- RPM price at the close of October 17, 2025 was $112.19 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $0.68 (0.61%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
Secondary Trend
Start date: September 23, 2025
End date: October 17, 2025
a = 9.2894
b = -0.0025
s = 0.0126
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0025) – 1
= -59.97%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0126) – 1
= 5.17%
September 23, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,237)
= Exp(a + b × X1,237 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,800 + 2 × s)
= Exp(9.2894 + -0.0025 × 1,800 + 2 × 0.0126)
= Exp(4.7992)
= $121.42
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,237)
= Exp(a + b × X1,237 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,800 – 2 × s)
= Exp(9.2894 + -0.0025 × 1,800 – 2 × 0.0126)
= Exp(4.7488)
= $115.45
October 17, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 + 2 × s)
= Exp(9.2894 + -0.0025 × 1,824 + 2 × 0.0126)
= Exp(4.7390)
= $114.32
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 – 2 × s)
= Exp(9.2894 + -0.0025 × 1,824 – 2 × 0.0126)
= Exp(4.6886)
= $108.71
Description
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 59.97% per annum.
- RPM price at the close of October 17, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.