Mativ Holdings Inc. (MATV)
Mativ Holdings, Inc., provides advanced materials and engineering solutions for various industries worldwide. The company is headquartered in Alpharetta, Georgia.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 88.03% per annum.
- MATV price at the close of April 28, 2025 was $5.26 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 92.01% per annum.
- MATV price at the close of April 28, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of MATV price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: August 29, 2024
End date: April 28, 2025
a = 12.2358
b = -0.0058
s = 0.0850
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0058) – 1
= -88.03%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0850) – 1
= 40.52%
August 29, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,091)
= Exp(a + b × X1,091 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,583 + 2 × s)
= Exp(12.2358 + -0.0058 × 1,583 + 2 × 0.0850)
= Exp(3.2004)
= $24.54
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,091)
= Exp(a + b × X1,091 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,583 – 2 × s)
= Exp(12.2358 + -0.0058 × 1,583 – 2 × 0.0850)
= Exp(2.8602)
= $17.47
April 28, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(12.2358 + -0.0058 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0850)
= Exp(1.7931)
= $6.01
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(12.2358 + -0.0058 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0850)
= Exp(1.4529)
= $4.28
Description
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 88.03% per annum.
- MATV price at the close of April 28, 2025 was $5.26 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: November 25, 2024
End date: April 28, 2025
a = 14.1878
b = -0.0069
s = 0.0753
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0069) – 1
= -92.01%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0753) – 1
= 35.14%
November 25, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,152)
= Exp(a + b × X1,152 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,671 + 2 × s)
= Exp(14.1878 + -0.0069 × 1,671 + 2 × 0.0753)
= Exp(2.7695)
= $15.95
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,152)
= Exp(a + b × X1,152 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,671 – 2 × s)
= Exp(14.1878 + -0.0069 × 1,671 – 2 × 0.0753)
= Exp(2.4684)
= $11.80
April 28, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(14.1878 + -0.0069 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0753)
= Exp(1.7034)
= $5.49
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(14.1878 + -0.0069 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0753)
= Exp(1.4022)
= $4.06
Description
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 92.01% per annum.
- MATV price at the close of April 28, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.