Stock Price Trends

Arrow Electronics Inc (ARW)

Arrow Electronics, Inc. is a leading global provider of technology solutions, offering a comprehensive range of electronic components and enterprise computing services tailored for industrial and commercial markets. With a strong operational presence across the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and Asia Pacific, Arrow leverages its extensive supply chain expertise to deliver innovative and efficient solutions that meet the evolving needs of its diverse clientele. Headquartered in Centennial, Colorado, the company continues to drive growth through strategic partnerships and a commitment to enhancing customer experiences in the technology sector.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 30,183.80% per annum.
  • ARW price at the close of February 11, 2026 was $157.81 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 62,884.33% per annum.
  • ARW price at the close of February 11, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of ARW price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: January 20, 2026
End date: February 11, 2026

a = -23.4996

b = 0.0157

s = 0.0332

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0157) – 1
= 30,183.80%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0332) – 1
= 14.21%

January 20, 2026 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,238)
= Exp(a + b × X1,238 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,803 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-23.4996 + 0.0157 × 1,803 + 2 × 0.0332)
= Exp(4.7885)
= $120.12

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,238)
= Exp(a + b × X1,238 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,803 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-23.4996 + 0.0157 × 1,803 – 2 × 0.0332)
= Exp(4.6556)
= $105.17

February 11, 2026 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-23.4996 + 0.0157 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0332)
= Exp(5.1328)
= $169.49

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-23.4996 + 0.0157 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0332)
= Exp(4.9999)
= $148.40

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 30,183.80% per annum.
  • ARW price at the close of February 11, 2026 was $157.81 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: January 26, 2026
End date: February 11, 2026

a = -27.1486

b = 0.0177

s = 0.0344

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0177) – 1
= 62,884.33%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0344) – 1
= 14.77%

January 26, 2026 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,242)
= Exp(a + b × X1,242 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,809 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-27.1486 + 0.0177 × 1,809 + 2 × 0.0344)
= Exp(4.8651)
= $129.69

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,242)
= Exp(a + b × X1,242 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,809 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-27.1486 + 0.0177 × 1,809 – 2 × 0.0344)
= Exp(4.7274)
= $113.00

February 11, 2026 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-27.1486 + 0.0177 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0344)
= Exp(5.1477)
= $172.03

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-27.1486 + 0.0177 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0344)
= Exp(5.0099)
= $149.89

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 62,884.33% per annum.
  • ARW price at the close of February 11, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.