CoreCivic Inc (CXW)
CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW) is a leading provider of correctional and detention services in the United States, specializing in the management and operation of partnership-driven facilities, including correctional institutions and residential reentry centers. Headquartered in Brentwood, Tennessee, the company plays a crucial role in the criminal justice system by delivering innovative solutions to reduce recidivism while ensuring safe and secure environments. With a focus on quality and efficiency, CoreCivic aims to maximize operational effectiveness through strategic partnerships and community engagement.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 31.05% per annum.
- CXW price at the close of December 16, 2025 was $19.02 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 454.59% per annum.
- CXW price at the close of December 16, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of CXW price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: April 11, 2025
End date: December 12, 2025
a = 4.7370
b = -0.0010
s = 0.0450
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0010) – 1
= -31.05%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0450) – 1
= 19.73%
April 11, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,083)
= Exp(a + b × X1,083 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,576 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.7370 + -0.0010 × 1,576 + 2 × 0.0450)
= Exp(3.2217)
= $25.07
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,083)
= Exp(a + b × X1,083 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,576 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.7370 + -0.0010 × 1,576 – 2 × 0.0450)
= Exp(3.0416)
= $20.94
December 12, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,252)
= Exp(a + b × X1,252 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,821 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.7370 + -0.0010 × 1,821 + 2 × 0.0450)
= Exp(2.9721)
= $19.53
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,252)
= Exp(a + b × X1,252 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,821 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.7370 + -0.0010 × 1,821 – 2 × 0.0450)
= Exp(2.7920)
= $16.31
Description
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 31.05% per annum.
- CXW price at the close of December 16, 2025 was $19.02 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: November 19, 2025
End date: December 16, 2025
a = -5.6029
b = 0.0047
s = 0.0140
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0047) – 1
= 454.59%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0140) – 1
= 5.75%
November 19, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,236)
= Exp(a + b × X1,236 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,798 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-5.6029 + 0.0047 × 1,798 + 2 × 0.0140)
= Exp(2.8636)
= $17.53
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,236)
= Exp(a + b × X1,236 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,798 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-5.6029 + 0.0047 × 1,798 – 2 × 0.0140)
= Exp(2.8078)
= $16.57
December 16, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-5.6029 + 0.0047 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0140)
= Exp(2.9904)
= $19.89
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-5.6029 + 0.0047 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0140)
= Exp(2.9345)
= $18.81
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 454.59% per annum.
- CXW price at the close of December 16, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.