Science Applications International Corporation Common Stock (SAIC)
Science Applications International Corporation provides technical, engineering and business information technology (IT) services primarily in the United States. The company is headquartered in Reston, Virginia.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 10.57% per annum.
- SAIC price at the close of April 29, 2025 was $121.35 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 177.96% per annum.
- SAIC price at the close of April 29, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of SAIC price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: December 4, 2023
End date: April 29, 2025
a = 5.2924
b = -0.0003
s = 0.0845
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0003) – 1
= -10.57%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0845) – 1
= 40.22%
December 4, 2023 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y905)
= Exp(a + b × X905 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,313 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.2924 + -0.0003 × 1,313 + 2 × 0.0845)
= Exp(5.0595)
= $157.51
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y905)
= Exp(a + b × X905 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,313 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.2924 + -0.0003 × 1,313 – 2 × 0.0845)
= Exp(4.7215)
= $112.33
April 29, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.2924 + -0.0003 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0845)
= Exp(4.9028)
= $134.66
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.2924 + -0.0003 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0845)
= Exp(4.5647)
= $96.04
Description
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 10.57% per annum.
- SAIC price at the close of April 29, 2025 was $121.35 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: February 13, 2025
End date: April 29, 2025
a = -0.3163
b = 0.0028
s = 0.0274
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0028) – 1
= 177.96%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0274) – 1
= 11.57%
February 13, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,204)
= Exp(a + b × X1,204 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,750 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.3163 + 0.0028 × 1,750 + 2 × 0.0274)
= Exp(4.6398)
= $103.53
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,204)
= Exp(a + b × X1,204 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,750 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.3163 + 0.0028 × 1,750 – 2 × 0.0274)
= Exp(4.5304)
= $92.79
April 29, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.3163 + 0.0028 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0274)
= Exp(4.8499)
= $127.73
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.3163 + 0.0028 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0274)
= Exp(4.7404)
= $114.48
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 177.96% per annum.
- SAIC price at the close of April 29, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.