Leidos Holdings Inc (LDOS)
Leidos Holdings Inc. is a diversified company based in Reston, Virginia, specializing in defense, aviation, information technology, and biomedical research. Formerly known as Science Applications International Corporation (SAIC), Leidos offers a comprehensive range of scientific, engineering, systems integration, and technical services to governmental and commercial clients worldwide. With a focus on delivering innovative solutions and advanced technologies, the company supports critical missions across various sectors, enhancing operational efficiency and driving modernization for its customers.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 58.90% per annum.
- LDOS price at the close of March 3, 2026 was $180.65 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $84.95 (31.98%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 19.53% per annum.
- LDOS price at the close of March 3, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of LDOS price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: February 27, 2023
End date: December 10, 2024
a = 3.4060
b = 0.0013
s = 0.0698
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0013) – 1
= 58.90%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0698) – 1
= 32.19%
February 27, 2023 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y499)
= Exp(a + b × X499 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 725 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.4060 + 0.0013 × 725 + 2 × 0.0698)
= Exp(4.4654)
= $86.96
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y499)
= Exp(a + b × X499 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 725 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.4060 + 0.0013 × 725 – 2 × 0.0698)
= Exp(4.1863)
= $65.78
December 10, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y949)
= Exp(a + b × X949 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,377 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.4060 + 0.0013 × 1,377 + 2 × 0.0698)
= Exp(5.2927)
= $198.87
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y949)
= Exp(a + b × X949 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,377 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.4060 + 0.0013 × 1,377 – 2 × 0.0698)
= Exp(5.0136)
= $150.44
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 58.90% per annum.
- LDOS price at the close of March 3, 2026 was $180.65 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $84.95 (31.98%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
Secondary Trend
Start date: February 13, 2024
End date: March 3, 2026
a = 4.3407
b = 0.0005
s = 0.0899
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0005) – 1
= 19.53%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0899) – 1
= 43.29%
February 13, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y741)
= Exp(a + b × X741 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,076 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.3407 + 0.0005 × 1,076 + 2 × 0.0899)
= Exp(5.0464)
= $155.47
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y741)
= Exp(a + b × X741 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,076 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.3407 + 0.0005 × 1,076 – 2 × 0.0899)
= Exp(4.6868)
= $108.50
March 3, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.3407 + 0.0005 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0899)
= Exp(5.4125)
= $224.20
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.3407 + 0.0005 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0899)
= Exp(5.0529)
= $156.47
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 19.53% per annum.
- LDOS price at the close of March 3, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.