Stock Price Trends

Edison International (EIX)

Edison International is a public utility holding company based in Rosemead, California. Its subsidiaries include Southern California Edison, and unregulated non-utility business assets Edison Energy.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 45.37% per annum.
  • EIX price at the close of September 30, 2025 was $55.28 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $3.26 (6.27%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 72.12% per annum.
  • EIX price at the close of September 30, 2025 was lower than the bottom border of the secondary price channel by $0.23 (0.41%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.
  • The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of EIX price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: July 26, 2024
End date: August 1, 2025

a = 6.7751

b = -0.0017

s = 0.0996

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0017) – 1
= -45.37%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0996) – 1
= 48.97%

July 26, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y959)
= Exp(a + b × X959 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,394 + 2 × s)
= Exp(6.7751 + -0.0017 × 1,394 + 2 × 0.0996)
= Exp(4.6655)
= $106.21

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y959)
= Exp(a + b × X959 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,394 – 2 × s)
= Exp(6.7751 + -0.0017 × 1,394 – 2 × 0.0996)
= Exp(4.2669)
= $71.30

August 1, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,213)
= Exp(a + b × X1,213 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,765 + 2 × s)
= Exp(6.7751 + -0.0017 × 1,765 + 2 × 0.0996)
= Exp(4.0510)
= $57.45

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,213)
= Exp(a + b × X1,213 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,765 – 2 × s)
= Exp(6.7751 + -0.0017 × 1,765 – 2 × 0.0996)
= Exp(3.6524)
= $38.57

Description

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 45.37% per annum.
  • EIX price at the close of September 30, 2025 was $55.28 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $3.26 (6.27%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.

Secondary Trend

Start date: June 9, 2025
End date: September 19, 2025

a = 1.3426

b = 0.0015

s = 0.0206

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0015) – 1
= 72.12%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0206) – 1
= 8.60%

June 9, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,176)
= Exp(a + b × X1,176 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,712 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.3426 + 0.0015 × 1,712 + 2 × 0.0206)
= Exp(3.9309)
= $50.95

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,176)
= Exp(a + b × X1,176 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,712 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.3426 + 0.0015 × 1,712 – 2 × 0.0206)
= Exp(3.8484)
= $46.92

September 19, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,247)
= Exp(a + b × X1,247 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,814 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.3426 + 0.0015 × 1,814 + 2 × 0.0206)
= Exp(4.0826)
= $59.30

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,247)
= Exp(a + b × X1,247 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,814 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.3426 + 0.0015 × 1,814 – 2 × 0.0206)
= Exp(4.0002)
= $54.61

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 72.12% per annum.
  • EIX price at the close of September 30, 2025 was lower than the bottom border of the secondary price channel by $0.23 (0.41%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.