Stock Price Trends

Exelon Corporation (EXC)

Exelon Corporation (Ticker: EXC) is a leading American energy provider and one of the largest utilities in the U.S., headquartered in Chicago, Illinois. As a Fortune 100 company incorporated in Pennsylvania, Exelon operates a diverse portfolio of generation assets, including nuclear, solar, and wind facilities, while delivering reliable electricity to millions of customers across several states. The company is committed to advancing clean energy solutions and enhancing grid resilience, positioning itself as a key player in the transition towards a sustainable energy future. With a strong focus on innovation and regulatory compliance, Exelon is strategically positioned to navigate the evolving energy landscape while delivering long-term value to its stakeholders.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 22.66% per annum.
  • EXC price at the close of October 29, 2025 was $47.20 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 160.55% per annum.
  • EXC price at the close of October 29, 2025 was lower than the bottom border of the secondary price channel by $0.27 (0.56%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of EXC price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: December 15, 2023
End date: October 29, 2025

a = 2.8195

b = 0.0006

s = 0.0420

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0006) – 1
= 22.66%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0420) – 1
= 18.29%

December 15, 2023 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y786)
= Exp(a + b × X786 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,141 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.8195 + 0.0006 × 1,141 + 2 × 0.0420)
= Exp(3.5420)
= $34.53

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y786)
= Exp(a + b × X786 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,141 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.8195 + 0.0006 × 1,141 – 2 × 0.0420)
= Exp(3.3740)
= $29.20

October 29, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.8195 + 0.0006 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0420)
= Exp(3.9247)
= $50.64

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.8195 + 0.0006 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0420)
= Exp(3.7568)
= $42.81

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 22.66% per annum.
  • EXC price at the close of October 29, 2025 was $47.20 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: September 8, 2025
End date: October 29, 2025

a = -0.9031

b = 0.0026

s = 0.0125

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0026) – 1
= 160.55%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0125) – 1
= 5.13%

September 8, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,217)
= Exp(a + b × X1,217 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,774 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.9031 + 0.0026 × 1,774 + 2 × 0.0125)
= Exp(3.7762)
= $43.65

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,217)
= Exp(a + b × X1,217 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,774 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.9031 + 0.0026 × 1,774 – 2 × 0.0125)
= Exp(3.7262)
= $41.52

October 29, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.9031 + 0.0026 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0125)
= Exp(3.9100)
= $49.90

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.9031 + 0.0026 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0125)
= Exp(3.8600)
= $47.47

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 160.55% per annum.
  • EXC price at the close of October 29, 2025 was lower than the bottom border of the secondary price channel by $0.27 (0.56%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.