Stock Price Trends

Evergy, Inc. (EVRG)

Evergy is an American investor-owned utility (IOU) with publicly traded stock that has its headquarters in Topeka, Kansas, and in Kansas City, Missouri.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 36.29% per annum.
  • EVRG price at the close of May 7, 2025 was $69.64 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 28.01% per annum.
  • EVRG price at the close of May 7, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of EVRG price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: January 18, 2024
End date: May 7, 2025

a = 2.6990

b = 0.0008

s = 0.0267

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0008) – 1
= 36.29%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0267) – 1
= 11.27%

January 18, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y929)
= Exp(a + b × X929 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,350 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.6990 + 0.0008 × 1,350 + 2 × 0.0267)
= Exp(3.8976)
= $49.28

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y929)
= Exp(a + b × X929 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,350 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.6990 + 0.0008 × 1,350 – 2 × 0.0267)
= Exp(3.7908)
= $44.29

May 7, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.6990 + 0.0008 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0267)
= Exp(4.3005)
= $73.74

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.6990 + 0.0008 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0267)
= Exp(4.1937)
= $66.27

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 36.29% per annum.
  • EVRG price at the close of May 7, 2025 was $69.64 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: July 31, 2024
End date: May 7, 2025

a = 2.9944

b = 0.0007

s = 0.0231

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0007) – 1
= 28.01%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0231) – 1
= 9.69%

July 31, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,063)
= Exp(a + b × X1,063 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,545 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.9944 + 0.0007 × 1,545 + 2 × 0.0231)
= Exp(4.0859)
= $59.49

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,063)
= Exp(a + b × X1,063 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,545 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.9944 + 0.0007 × 1,545 – 2 × 0.0231)
= Exp(3.9934)
= $54.24

May 7, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.9944 + 0.0007 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0231)
= Exp(4.2753)
= $71.90

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.9944 + 0.0007 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0231)
= Exp(4.1828)
= $65.55

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 28.01% per annum.
  • EVRG price at the close of May 7, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.