Stock Price Trends

PPL Corporation (PPL)

PPL Corporation is a leading energy company based in Allentown, Pennsylvania, specializing in electricity generation, transmission, and distribution. With a robust portfolio of regulated utilities and a commitment to renewable energy initiatives, PPL plays a crucial role in delivering reliable energy to millions of customers across several states. The company is strategically focused on sustainability and reducing carbon emissions, positioning itself as a key player in the transition to a cleaner energy future. As it continues to innovate and expand, PPL Corporation remains dedicated to enhancing operational efficiency and maximizing shareholder value.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 26.62% per annum.
  • PPL price at the close of November 20, 2025 was $35.54 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $0.48 (1.33%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 16.21% per annum.
  • PPL price at the close of November 20, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of PPL price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: August 15, 2023
End date: November 17, 2025

a = 2.4813

b = 0.0006

s = 0.0380

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0006) – 1
= 26.62%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0380) – 1
= 16.43%

August 15, 2023 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y684)
= Exp(a + b × X684 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 995 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.4813 + 0.0006 × 995 + 2 × 0.0380)
= Exp(3.2007)
= $24.55

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y684)
= Exp(a + b × X684 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 995 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.4813 + 0.0006 × 995 – 2 × 0.0380)
= Exp(3.0486)
= $21.09

November 17, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,251)
= Exp(a + b × X1,251 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,820 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.4813 + 0.0006 × 1,820 + 2 × 0.0380)
= Exp(3.7341)
= $41.85

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,251)
= Exp(a + b × X1,251 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,820 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.4813 + 0.0006 × 1,820 – 2 × 0.0380)
= Exp(3.5821)
= $35.95

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 26.62% per annum.
  • PPL price at the close of November 20, 2025 was $35.54 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $0.48 (1.33%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.

Secondary Trend

Start date: August 16, 2024
End date: November 20, 2025

a = 2.8654

b = 0.0004

s = 0.0250

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0004) – 1
= 16.21%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0250) – 1
= 10.50%

August 16, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y937)
= Exp(a + b × X937 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,362 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.8654 + 0.0004 × 1,362 + 2 × 0.0250)
= Exp(3.4758)
= $32.32

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y937)
= Exp(a + b × X937 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,362 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.8654 + 0.0004 × 1,362 – 2 × 0.0250)
= Exp(3.3760)
= $29.25

November 20, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.8654 + 0.0004 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0250)
= Exp(3.6656)
= $39.08

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.8654 + 0.0004 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0250)
= Exp(3.5657)
= $35.37

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 16.21% per annum.
  • PPL price at the close of November 20, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.