Stock Price Trends

Golden Entertainment Inc (GDEN)

Golden Entertainment, Inc. participates in the ownership and operation of a diversified entertainment platform in the United States. The company is headquartered in Las Vegas, Nevada.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 11.17% per annum.
  • GDEN price at the close of April 28, 2025 was $25.87 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 71.38% per annum.
  • GDEN price at the close of April 28, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of GDEN price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: June 1, 2021
End date: April 28, 2025

a = 3.9564

b = -0.0003

s = 0.0857

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0003) – 1
= -11.17%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0857) – 1
= 40.89%

June 1, 2021 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y274)
= Exp(a + b × X274 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 398 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.9564 + -0.0003 × 398 + 2 × 0.0857)
= Exp(3.9986)
= $54.52

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y274)
= Exp(a + b × X274 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 398 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.9564 + -0.0003 × 398 – 2 × 0.0857)
= Exp(3.6558)
= $38.70

April 28, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.9564 + -0.0003 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0857)
= Exp(3.5354)
= $34.31

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.9564 + -0.0003 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0857)
= Exp(3.1926)
= $24.35

Description

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 11.17% per annum.
  • GDEN price at the close of April 28, 2025 was $25.87 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: January 21, 2025
End date: April 28, 2025

a = 9.4489

b = -0.0034

s = 0.0430

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0034) – 1
= -71.38%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0430) – 1
= 18.75%

January 21, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,188)
= Exp(a + b × X1,188 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,728 + 2 × s)
= Exp(9.4489 + -0.0034 × 1,728 + 2 × 0.0430)
= Exp(3.6127)
= $37.07

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,188)
= Exp(a + b × X1,188 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,728 – 2 × s)
= Exp(9.4489 + -0.0034 × 1,728 – 2 × 0.0430)
= Exp(3.4408)
= $31.21

April 28, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(9.4489 + -0.0034 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0430)
= Exp(3.2803)
= $26.58

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(9.4489 + -0.0034 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0430)
= Exp(3.1084)
= $22.38

Description

  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 71.38% per annum.
  • GDEN price at the close of April 28, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.