Stock Price Trends

Itron Inc (ITRI)

Itron, Inc. is a leading technology and services provider specializing in smart metering and data analytics that empower utilities to effectively manage energy, water, and smart city systems worldwide. Headquartered in Liberty Lake, Washington, Itron integrates advanced technologies with comprehensive services to enhance operational efficiency, sustainability, and customer engagement across utility sectors. With a strong commitment to innovation, Itron plays a crucial role in enabling a sustainable future through the optimization of resource management and smart infrastructure solutions.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 37.09% per annum.
  • ITRI price at the close of November 26, 2025 was $98.56 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $15.76 (13.79%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 16.01% per annum.
  • ITRI price at the close of November 26, 2025 was lower than the bottom border of the secondary price channel by $6.53 (6.22%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of ITRI price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: February 28, 2022
End date: October 29, 2025

a = 3.3695

b = 0.0009

s = 0.1038

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0009) – 1
= 37.09%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.1038) – 1
= 51.48%

February 28, 2022 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y314)
= Exp(a + b × X314 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 458 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.3695 + 0.0009 × 458 + 2 × 0.1038)
= Exp(3.9730)
= $53.14

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y314)
= Exp(a + b × X314 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 458 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.3695 + 0.0009 × 458 – 2 × 0.1038)
= Exp(3.5576)
= $35.08

October 29, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,235)
= Exp(a + b × X1,235 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,797 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.3695 + 0.0009 × 1,797 + 2 × 0.1038)
= Exp(5.1301)
= $169.04

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,235)
= Exp(a + b × X1,235 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,797 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.3695 + 0.0009 × 1,797 – 2 × 0.1038)
= Exp(4.7148)
= $111.59

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 37.09% per annum.
  • ITRI price at the close of November 26, 2025 was $98.56 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $15.76 (13.79%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.

Secondary Trend

Start date: February 26, 2024
End date: November 26, 2025

a = 4.0759

b = 0.0004

s = 0.0818

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0004) – 1
= 16.01%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0818) – 1
= 38.72%

February 26, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y814)
= Exp(a + b × X814 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,186 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.0759 + 0.0004 × 1,186 + 2 × 0.0818)
= Exp(4.7221)
= $112.41

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y814)
= Exp(a + b × X814 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,186 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.0759 + 0.0004 × 1,186 – 2 × 0.0818)
= Exp(4.3949)
= $81.03

November 26, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.0759 + 0.0004 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0818)
= Exp(4.9821)
= $145.78

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.0759 + 0.0004 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0818)
= Exp(4.6549)
= $105.09

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 16.01% per annum.
  • ITRI price at the close of November 26, 2025 was lower than the bottom border of the secondary price channel by $6.53 (6.22%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.