Stock Price Trends

Teledyne Technologies Incorporated (TDY)

Teledyne Technologies Incorporated is an American industrial conglomerate.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 28.33% per annum.
  • TDY price at the close of January 6, 2026 was $532.73 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $17.96 (3.26%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 20.18% per annum.
  • TDY price at the close of January 6, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.
  • The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of TDY price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: April 4, 2024
End date: October 22, 2025

a = 5.1466

b = 0.0007

s = 0.0413

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0007) – 1
= 28.33%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0413) – 1
= 17.96%

April 4, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y814)
= Exp(a + b × X814 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,183 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.1466 + 0.0007 × 1,183 + 2 × 0.0413)
= Exp(6.0376)
= $418.90

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y814)
= Exp(a + b × X814 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,183 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.1466 + 0.0007 × 1,183 – 2 × 0.0413)
= Exp(5.8724)
= $355.11

October 22, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,203)
= Exp(a + b × X1,203 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,749 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.1466 + 0.0007 × 1,749 + 2 × 0.0413)
= Exp(6.4244)
= $616.74

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,203)
= Exp(a + b × X1,203 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,749 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.1466 + 0.0007 × 1,749 – 2 × 0.0413)
= Exp(6.2592)
= $522.82

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 28.33% per annum.
  • TDY price at the close of January 6, 2026 was $532.73 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $17.96 (3.26%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.

Secondary Trend

Start date: July 17, 2025
End date: January 6, 2026

a = 7.3598

b = -0.0006

s = 0.0376

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0006) – 1
= -20.18%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0376) – 1
= 16.23%

July 17, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,135)
= Exp(a + b × X1,135 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,652 + 2 × s)
= Exp(7.3598 + -0.0006 × 1,652 + 2 × 0.0376)
= Exp(6.4147)
= $610.78

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,135)
= Exp(a + b × X1,135 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,652 – 2 × s)
= Exp(7.3598 + -0.0006 × 1,652 – 2 × 0.0376)
= Exp(6.2643)
= $525.48

January 6, 2026 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(7.3598 + -0.0006 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0376)
= Exp(6.3079)
= $548.89

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(7.3598 + -0.0006 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0376)
= Exp(6.1575)
= $472.23

Description

  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 20.18% per annum.
  • TDY price at the close of January 6, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.