Stock Price Trends

Teledyne Technologies Incorporated (TDY)

Teledyne Technologies Incorporated is an American industrial conglomerate.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 28.72% per annum.
  • TDY price at the close of November 21, 2025 was $494.87 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $40.27 (7.53%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 73.48% per annum.
  • TDY price at the close of November 21, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
  • The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of TDY price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: April 10, 2024
End date: October 22, 2025

a = 5.1026

b = 0.0007

s = 0.0408

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0007) – 1
= 28.72%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0408) – 1
= 17.72%

April 10, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y848)
= Exp(a + b × X848 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,234 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.1026 + 0.0007 × 1,234 + 2 × 0.0408)
= Exp(6.0377)
= $418.91

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y848)
= Exp(a + b × X848 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,234 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.1026 + 0.0007 × 1,234 – 2 × 0.0408)
= Exp(5.8745)
= $355.84

October 22, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,233)
= Exp(a + b × X1,233 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,794 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.1026 + 0.0007 × 1,794 + 2 × 0.0408)
= Exp(6.4250)
= $617.05

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,233)
= Exp(a + b × X1,233 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,794 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.1026 + 0.0007 × 1,794 – 2 × 0.0408)
= Exp(6.2618)
= $524.15

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 28.72% per annum.
  • TDY price at the close of November 21, 2025 was $494.87 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $40.27 (7.53%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.

Secondary Trend

Start date: September 29, 2025
End date: November 21, 2025

a = 12.8281

b = -0.0036

s = 0.0184

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0036) – 1
= -73.48%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0184) – 1
= 7.65%

September 29, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,216)
= Exp(a + b × X1,216 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,771 + 2 × s)
= Exp(12.8281 + -0.0036 × 1,771 + 2 × 0.0184)
= Exp(6.4241)
= $616.50

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,216)
= Exp(a + b × X1,216 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,771 – 2 × s)
= Exp(12.8281 + -0.0036 × 1,771 – 2 × 0.0184)
= Exp(6.3504)
= $572.71

November 21, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 + 2 × s)
= Exp(12.8281 + -0.0036 × 1,824 + 2 × 0.0184)
= Exp(6.2313)
= $508.42

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 – 2 × s)
= Exp(12.8281 + -0.0036 × 1,824 – 2 × 0.0184)
= Exp(6.1576)
= $472.31

Description

  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 73.48% per annum.
  • TDY price at the close of November 21, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.