Keysight Technologies Inc (KEYS)
Keysight Technologies, or Keysight, is an American company that manufactures electronics test and measurement equipment and software.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 6.71% per annum.
- KEYS price at the close of September 15, 2025 was $171.76 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $13.78 (8.72%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 10.27% per annum.
- KEYS price at the close of September 15, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of KEYS price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: July 21, 2021
End date: September 18, 2024
a = 5.2207
b = -0.0002
s = 0.0945
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0002) – 1
= -6.71%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0945) – 1
= 45.95%
July 21, 2021 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y212)
= Exp(a + b × X212 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 308 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.2207 + -0.0002 × 308 + 2 × 0.0945)
= Exp(5.3512)
= $210.85
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y212)
= Exp(a + b × X212 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 308 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.2207 + -0.0002 × 308 – 2 × 0.0945)
= Exp(4.9731)
= $144.47
September 18, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,007)
= Exp(a + b × X1,007 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,463 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.2207 + -0.0002 × 1,463 + 2 × 0.0945)
= Exp(5.1314)
= $169.25
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,007)
= Exp(a + b × X1,007 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,463 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.2207 + -0.0002 × 1,463 – 2 × 0.0945)
= Exp(4.7533)
= $115.97
Description
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 6.71% per annum.
- KEYS price at the close of September 15, 2025 was $171.76 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $13.78 (8.72%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
Secondary Trend
Start date: August 18, 2023
End date: September 15, 2025
a = 4.6270
b = 0.0003
s = 0.0744
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0003) – 1
= 10.27%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0744) – 1
= 34.67%
August 18, 2023 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y735)
= Exp(a + b × X735 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,066 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.6270 + 0.0003 × 1,066 + 2 × 0.0744)
= Exp(5.0614)
= $157.81
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y735)
= Exp(a + b × X735 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,066 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.6270 + 0.0003 × 1,066 – 2 × 0.0744)
= Exp(4.7637)
= $117.18
September 15, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.6270 + 0.0003 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0744)
= Exp(5.2647)
= $193.38
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.6270 + 0.0003 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0744)
= Exp(4.9670)
= $143.60
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 10.27% per annum.
- KEYS price at the close of September 15, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.