Stock Price Trends

OSI Systems Inc (OSIS)

OSI Systems, Inc. designs, manufactures, and sells electronic components and systems worldwide. The company is headquartered in Hawthorne, California.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 37.88% per annum.
  • OSIS price at the close of April 28, 2025 was $201.50 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 78.27% per annum.
  • OSIS price at the close of April 28, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of OSIS price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: August 26, 2022
End date: April 28, 2025

a = 3.6484

b = 0.0009

s = 0.0806

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0009) – 1
= 37.88%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0806) – 1
= 38.02%

August 26, 2022 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y587)
= Exp(a + b × X587 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 849 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.6484 + 0.0009 × 849 + 2 × 0.0806)
= Exp(4.5567)
= $95.27

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y587)
= Exp(a + b × X587 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 849 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.6484 + 0.0009 × 849 – 2 × 0.0806)
= Exp(4.2344)
= $69.02

April 28, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.6484 + 0.0009 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0806)
= Exp(5.4156)
= $224.89

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.6484 + 0.0009 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0806)
= Exp(5.0934)
= $162.94

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 37.88% per annum.
  • OSIS price at the close of April 28, 2025 was $201.50 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: August 2, 2024
End date: April 28, 2025

a = 2.4426

b = 0.0016

s = 0.0727

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0016) – 1
= 78.27%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0727) – 1
= 33.75%

August 2, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,072)
= Exp(a + b × X1,072 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,556 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.4426 + 0.0016 × 1,556 + 2 × 0.0727)
= Exp(5.0526)
= $156.42

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,072)
= Exp(a + b × X1,072 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,556 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.4426 + 0.0016 × 1,556 – 2 × 0.0727)
= Exp(4.7617)
= $116.95

April 28, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.4426 + 0.0016 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0727)
= Exp(5.4786)
= $239.52

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.4426 + 0.0016 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0727)
= Exp(5.1878)
= $179.07

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 78.27% per annum.
  • OSIS price at the close of April 28, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.