Trimble Inc (TRMB)
Trimble Inc. is a Sunnyvale, California-based hardware, software and services technology company. Trimble services global industries in Agriculture, Building & Construction, Geospatial, Natural Resources and Utilities, Governments, Transportation and others. Trimble also does hardware development of Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) receivers, scanners, laser rangefinders, unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs), inertial navigation systems and software processing tools.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 20.24% per annum.
- TRMB price at the close of July 25, 2024 was $54.70 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $5.60 (11.39%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 14.41% per annum.
- TRMB price at the close of July 25, 2024 was inside the secondary price channel.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of TRMB price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: February 4, 2021
End date: January 29, 2024
a = 4.8319
b = -0.0006
s = 0.0966
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0006) – 1
= -20.24%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0966) – 1
= 47.16%
February 4, 2021 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y385)
= Exp(a + b × X385 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 559 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.8319 + -0.0006 × 559 + 2 × 0.0966)
= Exp(4.6788)
= $107.64
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y385)
= Exp(a + b × X385 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 559 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.8319 + -0.0006 × 559 – 2 × 0.0966)
= Exp(4.2925)
= $73.15
January 29, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,134)
= Exp(a + b × X1,134 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,648 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.8319 + -0.0006 × 1,648 + 2 × 0.0966)
= Exp(4.0042)
= $54.83
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,134)
= Exp(a + b × X1,134 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,648 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.8319 + -0.0006 × 1,648 – 2 × 0.0966)
= Exp(3.6179)
= $37.26
Description
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 20.24% per annum.
- TRMB price at the close of July 25, 2024 was $54.70 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $5.60 (11.39%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
Secondary Trend
Start date: February 24, 2023
End date: July 25, 2024
a = 3.3847
b = 0.0004
s = 0.0794
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0004) – 1
= 14.41%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0794) – 1
= 37.39%
February 24, 2023 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y902)
= Exp(a + b × X902 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,309 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.3847 + 0.0004 × 1,309 + 2 × 0.0794)
= Exp(4.0263)
= $56.05
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y902)
= Exp(a + b × X902 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,309 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.3847 + 0.0004 × 1,309 – 2 × 0.0794)
= Exp(3.7087)
= $40.80
July 25, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,257)
= Exp(a + b × X1,257 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.3847 + 0.0004 × 1,826 + 2 × 0.0794)
= Exp(4.2170)
= $67.83
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,257)
= Exp(a + b × X1,257 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.3847 + 0.0004 × 1,826 – 2 × 0.0794)
= Exp(3.8994)
= $49.37
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 14.41% per annum.
- TRMB price at the close of July 25, 2024 was inside the secondary price channel.