Stock Price Trends

Crane NXT Co (CXT)

Crane NXT Co. is a leading provider of innovative payment and merchandising technologies, catering to a diverse range of industries with a strong focus on enhancing transaction security and consumer engagement. Headquartered in Stamford, Connecticut, the company leverages its expertise to deliver cutting-edge solutions that streamline processes and improve operational efficiency for businesses worldwide. With a commitment to innovation and customer satisfaction, Crane NXT is well-positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for advanced payment solutions in an increasingly digital economy.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 0.98% per annum.
  • CXT price at the close of October 17, 2025 was $66.86 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $1.10 (1.67%).
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 98.72% per annum.
  • CXT price at the close of October 17, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of CXT price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: May 18, 2023
End date: September 22, 2025

a = 3.9914

b = 0.0000

s = 0.0730

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0000) – 1
= 0.98%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0730) – 1
= 33.89%

May 18, 2023 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y649)
= Exp(a + b × X649 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 941 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.9914 + 0.0000 × 941 + 2 × 0.0730)
= Exp(4.1625)
= $64.23

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y649)
= Exp(a + b × X649 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 941 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.9914 + 0.0000 × 941 – 2 × 0.0730)
= Exp(3.8706)
= $47.97

September 22, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,236)
= Exp(a + b × X1,236 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,799 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.9914 + 0.0000 × 1,799 + 2 × 0.0730)
= Exp(4.1854)
= $65.72

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,236)
= Exp(a + b × X1,236 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,799 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.9914 + 0.0000 × 1,799 – 2 × 0.0730)
= Exp(3.8936)
= $49.09

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 0.98% per annum.
  • CXT price at the close of October 17, 2025 was $66.86 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $1.10 (1.67%).

Secondary Trend

Start date: April 3, 2025
End date: October 17, 2025

a = 0.7753

b = 0.0019

s = 0.0443

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0019) – 1
= 98.72%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0443) – 1
= 19.36%

April 3, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,119)
= Exp(a + b × X1,119 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,627 + 2 × s)
= Exp(0.7753 + 0.0019 × 1,627 + 2 × 0.0443)
= Exp(3.9249)
= $50.65

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,119)
= Exp(a + b × X1,119 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,627 – 2 × s)
= Exp(0.7753 + 0.0019 × 1,627 – 2 × 0.0443)
= Exp(3.7479)
= $42.43

October 17, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 + 2 × s)
= Exp(0.7753 + 0.0019 × 1,824 + 2 × 0.0443)
= Exp(4.2956)
= $73.37

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 – 2 × s)
= Exp(0.7753 + 0.0019 × 1,824 – 2 × 0.0443)
= Exp(4.1185)
= $61.47

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 98.72% per annum.
  • CXT price at the close of October 17, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.