Stock Price Trends

Crane NXT Co (CXT)

Crane NXT Co. is a leading provider of innovative payment and merchandising technologies, catering to a diverse range of industries with a strong focus on enhancing transaction security and consumer engagement. Headquartered in Stamford, Connecticut, the company leverages its expertise to deliver cutting-edge solutions that streamline processes and improve operational efficiency for businesses worldwide. With a commitment to innovation and customer satisfaction, Crane NXT is well-positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for advanced payment solutions in an increasingly digital economy.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 0.98% per annum.
  • CXT price at the close of December 8, 2025 was $57.40 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 85.20% per annum.
  • CXT price at the close of December 8, 2025 was lower than the bottom border of the secondary price channel by $7.93 (12.13%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of CXT price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: May 18, 2023
End date: September 22, 2025

a = 3.9898

b = 0.0000

s = 0.0730

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0000) – 1
= 0.98%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0730) – 1
= 33.89%

May 18, 2023 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y613)
= Exp(a + b × X613 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 890 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.9898 + 0.0000 × 890 + 2 × 0.0730)
= Exp(4.1595)
= $64.04

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y613)
= Exp(a + b × X613 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 890 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.9898 + 0.0000 × 890 – 2 × 0.0730)
= Exp(3.8676)
= $47.83

September 22, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,200)
= Exp(a + b × X1,200 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,748 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.9898 + 0.0000 × 1,748 + 2 × 0.0730)
= Exp(4.1824)
= $65.52

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,200)
= Exp(a + b × X1,200 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,748 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.9898 + 0.0000 × 1,748 – 2 × 0.0730)
= Exp(3.8905)
= $48.94

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 0.98% per annum.
  • CXT price at the close of December 8, 2025 was $57.40 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: March 26, 2025
End date: November 3, 2025

a = 1.1940

b = 0.0017

s = 0.0479

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0017) – 1
= 85.20%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0479) – 1
= 21.12%

March 26, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,077)
= Exp(a + b × X1,077 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,568 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.1940 + 0.0017 × 1,568 + 2 × 0.0479)
= Exp(3.9371)
= $51.27

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,077)
= Exp(a + b × X1,077 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,568 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.1940 + 0.0017 × 1,568 – 2 × 0.0479)
= Exp(3.7455)
= $42.33

November 3, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,230)
= Exp(a + b × X1,230 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,790 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.1940 + 0.0017 × 1,790 + 2 × 0.0479)
= Exp(4.3119)
= $74.58

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,230)
= Exp(a + b × X1,230 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,790 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.1940 + 0.0017 × 1,790 – 2 × 0.0479)
= Exp(4.1203)
= $61.58

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 85.20% per annum.
  • CXT price at the close of December 8, 2025 was lower than the bottom border of the secondary price channel by $7.93 (12.13%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.