Stock Price Trends

Crane NXT Co (CXT)

Crane NXT Co. is a leading provider of innovative payment and merchandising technologies, catering to a diverse range of industries with a strong focus on enhancing transaction security and consumer engagement. Headquartered in Stamford, Connecticut, the company leverages its expertise to deliver cutting-edge solutions that streamline processes and improve operational efficiency for businesses worldwide. With a commitment to innovation and customer satisfaction, Crane NXT is well-positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for advanced payment solutions in an increasingly digital economy.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 1.02% per annum.
  • CXT price at the close of November 24, 2025 was $54.79 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 89.54% per annum.
  • CXT price at the close of November 24, 2025 was lower than the bottom border of the secondary price channel by $9.93 (15.34%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of CXT price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: May 17, 2023
End date: September 22, 2025

a = 3.9906

b = 0.0000

s = 0.0730

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0000) – 1
= 1.02%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0730) – 1
= 33.92%

May 17, 2023 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y621)
= Exp(a + b × X621 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 903 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.9906 + 0.0000 × 903 + 2 × 0.0730)
= Exp(4.1619)
= $64.19

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y621)
= Exp(a + b × X621 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 903 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.9906 + 0.0000 × 903 – 2 × 0.0730)
= Exp(3.8698)
= $47.93

September 22, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,209)
= Exp(a + b × X1,209 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,762 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.9906 + 0.0000 × 1,762 + 2 × 0.0730)
= Exp(4.1858)
= $65.75

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,209)
= Exp(a + b × X1,209 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,762 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.9906 + 0.0000 × 1,762 – 2 × 0.0730)
= Exp(3.8938)
= $49.10

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 1.02% per annum.
  • CXT price at the close of November 24, 2025 was $54.79 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: March 28, 2025
End date: October 30, 2025

a = 1.0653

b = 0.0018

s = 0.0461

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0018) – 1
= 89.54%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0461) – 1
= 20.26%

March 28, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,088)
= Exp(a + b × X1,088 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,584 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.0653 + 0.0018 × 1,584 + 2 × 0.0461)
= Exp(3.9324)
= $51.03

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,088)
= Exp(a + b × X1,088 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,584 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.0653 + 0.0018 × 1,584 – 2 × 0.0461)
= Exp(3.7479)
= $42.43

October 30, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,237)
= Exp(a + b × X1,237 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,800 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.0653 + 0.0018 × 1,800 + 2 × 0.0461)
= Exp(4.3108)
= $74.50

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,237)
= Exp(a + b × X1,237 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,800 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.0653 + 0.0018 × 1,800 – 2 × 0.0461)
= Exp(4.1263)
= $61.95

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 89.54% per annum.
  • CXT price at the close of November 24, 2025 was lower than the bottom border of the secondary price channel by $9.93 (15.34%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.