Keurig Dr Pepper Inc (KDP)
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. is a leading beverage company based in Burlington, Massachusetts, renowned for its extensive portfolio of brands that includes popular coffee, soft drinks, and flavored waters. With a strong presence in both the U.S. and international markets, KDP leverages innovative product development and well-established distribution channels to drive growth. The company's commitment to sustainability and consumer trends positions it favorably in the evolving beverage landscape, making it an attractive option for institutional investors seeking exposure to the dynamic beverage sector.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 35.34% per annum.
- KDP price at the close of December 17, 2025 was $28.05 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 184.30% per annum.
- KDP price at the close of December 17, 2025 was lower than the bottom border of the secondary price channel by $0.86 (2.98%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of KDP price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: March 24, 2025
End date: December 2, 2025
a = 5.4361
b = -0.0012
s = 0.0611
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0012) – 1
= -35.34%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0611) – 1
= 27.69%
March 24, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,068)
= Exp(a + b × X1,068 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,557 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.4361 + -0.0012 × 1,557 + 2 × 0.0611)
= Exp(3.6984)
= $40.38
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,068)
= Exp(a + b × X1,068 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,557 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.4361 + -0.0012 × 1,557 – 2 × 0.0611)
= Exp(3.4540)
= $31.63
December 2, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,243)
= Exp(a + b × X1,243 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,810 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.4361 + -0.0012 × 1,810 + 2 × 0.0611)
= Exp(3.3962)
= $29.85
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,243)
= Exp(a + b × X1,243 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,810 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.4361 + -0.0012 × 1,810 – 2 × 0.0611)
= Exp(3.1517)
= $23.38
Description
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 35.34% per annum.
- KDP price at the close of December 17, 2025 was $28.05 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: November 3, 2025
End date: December 15, 2025
a = -1.8364
b = 0.0029
s = 0.0118
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0029) – 1
= 184.30%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0118) – 1
= 4.82%
November 3, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,223)
= Exp(a + b × X1,223 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,781 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-1.8364 + 0.0029 × 1,781 + 2 × 0.0118)
= Exp(3.2854)
= $26.72
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,223)
= Exp(a + b × X1,223 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,781 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-1.8364 + 0.0029 × 1,781 – 2 × 0.0118)
= Exp(3.2383)
= $25.49
December 15, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,252)
= Exp(a + b × X1,252 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-1.8364 + 0.0029 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0118)
= Exp(3.4057)
= $30.13
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,252)
= Exp(a + b × X1,252 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-1.8364 + 0.0029 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0118)
= Exp(3.3586)
= $28.75
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 184.30% per annum.
- KDP price at the close of December 17, 2025 was lower than the bottom border of the secondary price channel by $0.86 (2.98%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.