Stock Price Trends

Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc. (COKE)

Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc. produces, markets and distributes non-alcoholic beverages primarily products of The Coca-Cola Company in the United States. The company is headquartered in Charlotte, North Carolina.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 66.95% per annum.
  • COKE price at the close of April 29, 2025 was $1,351.25 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $7.87 (0.58%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 12.70% per annum.
  • COKE price at the close of April 29, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of COKE price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: September 6, 2022
End date: March 5, 2025

a = 4.7986

b = 0.0014

s = 0.0734

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0014) – 1
= 66.95%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0734) – 1
= 34.11%

September 6, 2022 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y592)
= Exp(a + b × X592 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 859 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.7986 + 0.0014 × 859 + 2 × 0.0734)
= Exp(6.1516)
= $469.47

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y592)
= Exp(a + b × X592 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 859 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.7986 + 0.0014 × 859 – 2 × 0.0734)
= Exp(5.8581)
= $350.06

March 5, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,217)
= Exp(a + b × X1,217 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,770 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.7986 + 0.0014 × 1,770 + 2 × 0.0734)
= Exp(7.4309)
= $1,687.25

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,217)
= Exp(a + b × X1,217 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,770 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.7986 + 0.0014 × 1,770 – 2 × 0.0734)
= Exp(7.1374)
= $1,258.10

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 66.95% per annum.
  • COKE price at the close of April 29, 2025 was $1,351.25 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $7.87 (0.58%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.

Secondary Trend

Start date: August 1, 2024
End date: April 29, 2025

a = 6.6151

b = 0.0003

s = 0.0418

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0003) – 1
= 12.70%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0418) – 1
= 18.22%

August 1, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,070)
= Exp(a + b × X1,070 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,554 + 2 × s)
= Exp(6.6151 + 0.0003 × 1,554 + 2 × 0.0418)
= Exp(7.2077)
= $1,349.79

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,070)
= Exp(a + b × X1,070 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,554 – 2 × s)
= Exp(6.6151 + 0.0003 × 1,554 – 2 × 0.0418)
= Exp(7.0403)
= $1,141.75

April 29, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(6.6151 + 0.0003 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0418)
= Exp(7.2965)
= $1,475.06

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(6.6151 + 0.0003 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0418)
= Exp(7.1291)
= $1,247.71

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 12.70% per annum.
  • COKE price at the close of April 29, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.