Xpel Inc (XPEL)
XPEL, Inc. manufactures, sells, distributes, and installs aftermarket automotive products in the United States, China, Canada, Continental Europe, the United Kingdom, Asia Pacific, Latin America, the Middle East / Africa, and internationally. The company is headquartered in San Antonio, Texas.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 33.90% per annum.
- XPEL price at the close of April 28, 2025 was $27.26 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 89.08% per annum.
- XPEL price at the close of April 28, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of XPEL price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: January 11, 2023
End date: April 28, 2025
a = 5.5325
b = -0.0011
s = 0.1564
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0011) – 1
= -33.90%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.1564) – 1
= 86.92%
January 11, 2023 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y681)
= Exp(a + b × X681 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 987 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.5325 + -0.0011 × 987 + 2 × 0.1564)
= Exp(4.7256)
= $112.79
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y681)
= Exp(a + b × X681 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 987 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.5325 + -0.0011 × 987 – 2 × 0.1564)
= Exp(4.1000)
= $60.34
April 28, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.5325 + -0.0011 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.1564)
= Exp(3.7749)
= $43.59
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.5325 + -0.0011 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.1564)
= Exp(3.1494)
= $23.32
Description
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 33.90% per annum.
- XPEL price at the close of April 28, 2025 was $27.26 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: January 16, 2025
End date: April 28, 2025
a = 14.2827
b = -0.0061
s = 0.0714
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0061) – 1
= -89.08%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0714) – 1
= 33.04%
January 16, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,186)
= Exp(a + b × X1,186 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,723 + 2 × s)
= Exp(14.2827 + -0.0061 × 1,723 + 2 × 0.0714)
= Exp(3.9723)
= $53.11
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,186)
= Exp(a + b × X1,186 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,723 – 2 × s)
= Exp(14.2827 + -0.0061 × 1,723 – 2 × 0.0714)
= Exp(3.6869)
= $39.92
April 28, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(14.2827 + -0.0061 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0714)
= Exp(3.3535)
= $28.60
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(14.2827 + -0.0061 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0714)
= Exp(3.0681)
= $21.50
Description
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 89.08% per annum.
- XPEL price at the close of April 28, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.