Archrock Inc (AROC)
Archrock, Inc. is a leading energy infrastructure company based in Houston, Texas, specializing in natural gas compression and related services. With a robust portfolio of rental and aftermarket services, Archrock supports the efficient production and transportation of natural gas, playing a vital role in the energy supply chain. The company is strategically positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for energy solutions in North America, driven by an increasing focus on natural gas as a cleaner alternative. Archrock's commitment to operational excellence and customer service has solidified its reputation as a trusted partner in the energy sector.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 991.20% per annum.
- AROC price at the close of March 17, 2026 was $36.20 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $1.68 (4.43%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 70.44% per annum.
- AROC price at the close of March 17, 2026 was higher than the top border of the secondary price channel by $0.26 (0.72%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of AROC price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: January 5, 2026
End date: March 5, 2026
a = -8.2728
b = 0.0065
s = 0.0210
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0065) – 1
= 991.20%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0210) – 1
= 8.78%
January 5, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,205)
= Exp(a + b × X1,205 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,754 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-8.2728 + 0.0065 × 1,754 + 2 × 0.0210)
= Exp(3.2537)
= $25.89
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,205)
= Exp(a + b × X1,205 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,754 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-8.2728 + 0.0065 × 1,754 – 2 × 0.0210)
= Exp(3.1695)
= $23.80
March 5, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,246)
= Exp(a + b × X1,246 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,813 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-8.2728 + 0.0065 × 1,813 + 2 × 0.0210)
= Exp(3.6400)
= $38.09
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,246)
= Exp(a + b × X1,246 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,813 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-8.2728 + 0.0065 × 1,813 – 2 × 0.0210)
= Exp(3.5558)
= $35.02
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 991.20% per annum.
- AROC price at the close of March 17, 2026 was $36.20 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $1.68 (4.43%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
Secondary Trend
Start date: March 2, 2026
End date: March 16, 2026
a = 9.6443
b = -0.0033
s = 0.0153
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0033) – 1
= -70.44%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0153) – 1
= 6.31%
March 2, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,243)
= Exp(a + b × X1,243 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,810 + 2 × s)
= Exp(9.6443 + -0.0033 × 1,810 + 2 × 0.0153)
= Exp(3.6319)
= $37.79
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,243)
= Exp(a + b × X1,243 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,810 – 2 × s)
= Exp(9.6443 + -0.0033 × 1,810 – 2 × 0.0153)
= Exp(3.5708)
= $35.54
March 16, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,253)
= Exp(a + b × X1,253 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 + 2 × s)
= Exp(9.6443 + -0.0033 × 1,824 + 2 × 0.0153)
= Exp(3.5852)
= $36.06
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,253)
= Exp(a + b × X1,253 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 – 2 × s)
= Exp(9.6443 + -0.0033 × 1,824 – 2 × 0.0153)
= Exp(3.5240)
= $33.92
Description
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 70.44% per annum.
- AROC price at the close of March 17, 2026 was higher than the top border of the secondary price channel by $0.26 (0.72%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.