Stock Price Trends

Core Laboratories NV (CLB)

None

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 131.10% per annum.
  • CLB price at the close of July 25, 2024 was $24.35 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $0.76 (3.23%).
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 714.50% per annum.
  • CLB price at the close of July 25, 2024 was inside the secondary price channel.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of CLB price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: February 1, 2024
End date: July 25, 2024

a = -1.1316

b = 0.0023

s = 0.0509

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0023) – 1
= 131.10%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0509) – 1
= 22.56%

February 1, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,137)
= Exp(a + b × X1,137 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,651 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-1.1316 + 0.0023 × 1,651 + 2 × 0.0509)
= Exp(2.7591)
= $15.79

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,137)
= Exp(a + b × X1,137 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,651 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-1.1316 + 0.0023 × 1,651 – 2 × 0.0509)
= Exp(2.5557)
= $12.88

July 25, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,257)
= Exp(a + b × X1,257 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-1.1316 + 0.0023 × 1,826 + 2 × 0.0509)
= Exp(3.1608)
= $23.59

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,257)
= Exp(a + b × X1,257 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-1.1316 + 0.0023 × 1,826 – 2 × 0.0509)
= Exp(2.9573)
= $19.25

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 131.10% per annum.
  • CLB price at the close of July 25, 2024 was $24.35 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $0.76 (3.23%).

Secondary Trend

Start date: June 3, 2024
End date: July 25, 2024

a = -7.3415

b = 0.0057

s = 0.0324

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0057) – 1
= 714.50%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0324) – 1
= 13.81%

June 3, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,221)
= Exp(a + b × X1,221 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,774 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-7.3415 + 0.0057 × 1,774 + 2 × 0.0324)
= Exp(2.9171)
= $18.49

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,221)
= Exp(a + b × X1,221 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,774 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-7.3415 + 0.0057 × 1,774 – 2 × 0.0324)
= Exp(2.7877)
= $16.24

July 25, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,257)
= Exp(a + b × X1,257 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-7.3415 + 0.0057 × 1,826 + 2 × 0.0324)
= Exp(3.2159)
= $24.93

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,257)
= Exp(a + b × X1,257 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-7.3415 + 0.0057 × 1,826 – 2 × 0.0324)
= Exp(3.0865)
= $21.90

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 714.50% per annum.
  • CLB price at the close of July 25, 2024 was inside the secondary price channel.