Stock Price Trends

Schlumberger NV (SLB)

Schlumberger Limited is an oilfield services company. Schlumberger has four principal executive offices located in Paris, Houston, London, and The Hague.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 20.85% per annum.
  • SLB price at the close of April 28, 2025 was $34.10 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 70.06% per annum.
  • SLB price at the close of April 28, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of SLB price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: July 11, 2023
End date: April 28, 2025

a = 4.7919

b = -0.0006

s = 0.0533

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0006) – 1
= -20.85%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0533) – 1
= 23.78%

July 11, 2023 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y804)
= Exp(a + b × X804 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,168 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.7919 + -0.0006 × 1,168 + 2 × 0.0533)
= Exp(4.1504)
= $63.46

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y804)
= Exp(a + b × X804 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,168 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.7919 + -0.0006 × 1,168 – 2 × 0.0533)
= Exp(3.9371)
= $51.27

April 28, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.7919 + -0.0006 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0533)
= Exp(3.7295)
= $41.66

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.7919 + -0.0006 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0533)
= Exp(3.5162)
= $33.66

Description

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 20.85% per annum.
  • SLB price at the close of April 28, 2025 was $34.10 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: February 13, 2025
End date: April 28, 2025

a = 9.5673

b = -0.0033

s = 0.0600

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0033) – 1
= -70.06%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0600) – 1
= 27.14%

February 13, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,205)
= Exp(a + b × X1,205 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,751 + 2 × s)
= Exp(9.5673 + -0.0033 × 1,751 + 2 × 0.0600)
= Exp(3.9012)
= $49.46

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,205)
= Exp(a + b × X1,205 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,751 – 2 × s)
= Exp(9.5673 + -0.0033 × 1,751 – 2 × 0.0600)
= Exp(3.6610)
= $38.90

April 28, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(9.5673 + -0.0033 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0600)
= Exp(3.6566)
= $38.73

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(9.5673 + -0.0033 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0600)
= Exp(3.4165)
= $30.46

Description

  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 70.06% per annum.
  • SLB price at the close of April 28, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.