Kodiak Gas Services, Inc. (KGS)
Kodiak Gas Services, LLC provides contract compression infrastructure services for the oil and gas industry in the United States. The company is headquartered in Montgomery, Texas.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 35.66% per annum.
- KGS price at the close of September 3, 2025 was $35.38 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 406.64% per annum.
- KGS price at the close of September 3, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of KGS price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: November 20, 2024
End date: August 12, 2025
a = 4.3780
b = -0.0012
s = 0.0787
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0012) – 1
= -35.66%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0787) – 1
= 37.01%
November 20, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y352)
= Exp(a + b × X352 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 510 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.3780 + -0.0012 × 510 + 2 × 0.0787)
= Exp(3.9192)
= $50.36
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y352)
= Exp(a + b × X352 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 510 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.3780 + -0.0012 × 510 – 2 × 0.0787)
= Exp(3.6043)
= $36.76
August 12, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y531)
= Exp(a + b × X531 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 775 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.3780 + -0.0012 × 775 + 2 × 0.0787)
= Exp(3.5990)
= $36.56
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y531)
= Exp(a + b × X531 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 775 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.3780 + -0.0012 × 775 – 2 × 0.0787)
= Exp(3.2842)
= $26.69
Description
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 35.66% per annum.
- KGS price at the close of September 3, 2025 was $35.38 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: July 21, 2025
End date: September 2, 2025
a = 0.0695
b = 0.0044
s = 0.0265
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0044) – 1
= 406.64%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0265) – 1
= 11.19%
July 21, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y515)
= Exp(a + b × X515 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 753 + 2 × s)
= Exp(0.0695 + 0.0044 × 753 + 2 × 0.0265)
= Exp(3.4701)
= $32.14
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y515)
= Exp(a + b × X515 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 753 – 2 × s)
= Exp(0.0695 + 0.0044 × 753 – 2 × 0.0265)
= Exp(3.3640)
= $28.90
September 2, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y545)
= Exp(a + b × X545 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 796 + 2 × s)
= Exp(0.0695 + 0.0044 × 796 + 2 × 0.0265)
= Exp(3.6612)
= $38.91
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y545)
= Exp(a + b × X545 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 796 – 2 × s)
= Exp(0.0695 + 0.0044 × 796 – 2 × 0.0265)
= Exp(3.5552)
= $34.99
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 406.64% per annum.
- KGS price at the close of September 3, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.