Stock Price Trends

Cencora Inc. (COR)

CoreSite Realty Corporation (NYSE: COR) delivers secure, reliable, high-performance data center, cloud access and interconnect solutions to a growing client ecosystem in eight key North American markets.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 46.26% per annum.
  • COR price at the close of May 17, 2024 was $222.12 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $3.83 (1.70%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 44.99% per annum.
  • COR price at the close of May 17, 2024 was inside the secondary price channel.
  • The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of COR price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: February 2, 2023
End date: April 30, 2024

a = 3.6013

b = 0.0010

s = 0.0406

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0010) – 1
= 46.26%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0406) – 1
= 17.62%

February 2, 2023 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y934)
= Exp(a + b × X934 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,354 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.6013 + 0.0010 × 1,354 + 2 × 0.0406)
= Exp(5.0930)
= $162.87

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y934)
= Exp(a + b × X934 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,354 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.6013 + 0.0010 × 1,354 – 2 × 0.0406)
= Exp(4.9307)
= $138.47

April 30, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,245)
= Exp(a + b × X1,245 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,807 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.6013 + 0.0010 × 1,807 + 2 × 0.0406)
= Exp(5.5649)
= $261.10

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,245)
= Exp(a + b × X1,245 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,807 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.6013 + 0.0010 × 1,807 – 2 × 0.0406)
= Exp(5.4026)
= $221.99

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 46.26% per annum.
  • COR price at the close of May 17, 2024 was $222.12 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $3.83 (1.70%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.

Secondary Trend

Start date: March 19, 2024
End date: May 17, 2024

a = 8.3974

b = -0.0016

s = 0.0169

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0016) – 1
= -44.99%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0169) – 1
= 6.98%

March 19, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,216)
= Exp(a + b × X1,216 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,765 + 2 × s)
= Exp(8.3974 + -0.0016 × 1,765 + 2 × 0.0169)
= Exp(5.5414)
= $255.02

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,216)
= Exp(a + b × X1,216 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,765 – 2 × s)
= Exp(8.3974 + -0.0016 × 1,765 – 2 × 0.0169)
= Exp(5.4739)
= $238.39

May 17, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,258)
= Exp(a + b × X1,258 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 + 2 × s)
= Exp(8.3974 + -0.0016 × 1,824 + 2 × 0.0169)
= Exp(5.4448)
= $231.54

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,258)
= Exp(a + b × X1,258 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 – 2 × s)
= Exp(8.3974 + -0.0016 × 1,824 – 2 × 0.0169)
= Exp(5.3773)
= $216.44

Description

  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 44.99% per annum.
  • COR price at the close of May 17, 2024 was inside the secondary price channel.