Dollar General Corporation (DG)
Dollar General Corporation is a leading discount retailer in the United States, operating a robust network of over 18,000 stores throughout the country. Headquartered in Goodlettsville, Tennessee, the company offers a wide range of products including groceries, health and beauty items, and household goods, all at affordable prices. Dollar General caters primarily to rural and underserved communities, providing convenient access to essential merchandise. With a focus on value and customer service, the company continues to expand its footprint and adapt its inventory to meet the evolving needs of its customer base.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 58.40% per annum.
- DG price at the close of December 24, 2025 was $135.45 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 1,514.68% per annum.
- DG price at the close of December 24, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of DG price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: October 14, 2024
End date: December 24, 2025
a = 2.5034
b = 0.0013
s = 0.0938
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0013) – 1
= 58.40%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0938) – 1
= 45.53%
October 14, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y954)
= Exp(a + b × X954 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,386 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.5034 + 0.0013 × 1,386 + 2 × 0.0938)
= Exp(4.4376)
= $84.57
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y954)
= Exp(a + b × X954 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,386 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.5034 + 0.0013 × 1,386 – 2 × 0.0938)
= Exp(4.0623)
= $58.11
December 24, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,822 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.5034 + 0.0013 × 1,822 + 2 × 0.0938)
= Exp(4.9870)
= $146.50
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,822 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.5034 + 0.0013 × 1,822 – 2 × 0.0938)
= Exp(4.6118)
= $100.66
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 58.40% per annum.
- DG price at the close of December 24, 2025 was $135.45 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: November 3, 2025
End date: December 24, 2025
a = -8.9512
b = 0.0076
s = 0.0466
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0076) – 1
= 1,514.68%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0466) – 1
= 20.48%
November 3, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,218)
= Exp(a + b × X1,218 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,771 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-8.9512 + 0.0076 × 1,771 + 2 × 0.0466)
= Exp(4.6390)
= $103.44
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,218)
= Exp(a + b × X1,218 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,771 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-8.9512 + 0.0076 × 1,771 – 2 × 0.0466)
= Exp(4.4527)
= $85.86
December 24, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,822 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-8.9512 + 0.0076 × 1,822 + 2 × 0.0466)
= Exp(5.0277)
= $152.57
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,822 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-8.9512 + 0.0076 × 1,822 – 2 × 0.0466)
= Exp(4.8413)
= $126.64
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 1,514.68% per annum.
- DG price at the close of December 24, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.