Stock Price Trends

Fidelity National Financial Inc (FNF)

Fidelity National Financial, Inc. (FNF) is a leading provider of title insurance, technology solutions, and transaction services in the United States, primarily focusing on real estate-related transactions. Headquartered in Jacksonville, Florida, FNF operates through its various subsidiaries, offering a comprehensive suite of services that facilitate the closing of real estate transactions, title searches, and escrow services. With a strong emphasis on innovation and customer service, the company leverages technology to enhance operational efficiency and streamline workflows in the title insurance industry. FNF's diversified business model and robust market presence position it well for sustained growth in the dynamic real estate sector.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 1.46% per annum.
  • FNF price at the close of March 4, 2026 was $50.76 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 85.32% per annum.
  • FNF price at the close of March 4, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of FNF price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: August 23, 2024
End date: March 4, 2026

a = 4.0718

b = 0.0000

s = 0.0443

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0000) – 1
= -1.46%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0443) – 1
= 19.39%

August 23, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y873)
= Exp(a + b × X873 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,267 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.0718 + 0.0000 × 1,267 + 2 × 0.0443)
= Exp(4.1093)
= $60.91

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y873)
= Exp(a + b × X873 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,267 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.0718 + 0.0000 × 1,267 – 2 × 0.0443)
= Exp(3.9321)
= $51.02

March 4, 2026 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.0718 + 0.0000 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0443)
= Exp(4.0868)
= $59.55

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.0718 + 0.0000 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0443)
= Exp(3.9096)
= $49.88

Description

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 1.46% per annum.
  • FNF price at the close of March 4, 2026 was $50.76 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: February 5, 2026
End date: March 4, 2026

a = 13.5172

b = -0.0053

s = 0.0219

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0053) – 1
= -85.32%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0219) – 1
= 9.16%

February 5, 2026 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,236)
= Exp(a + b × X1,236 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,798 + 2 × s)
= Exp(13.5172 + -0.0053 × 1,798 + 2 × 0.0219)
= Exp(4.1094)
= $60.91

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,236)
= Exp(a + b × X1,236 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,798 – 2 × s)
= Exp(13.5172 + -0.0053 × 1,798 – 2 × 0.0219)
= Exp(4.0218)
= $55.80

March 4, 2026 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(13.5172 + -0.0053 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0219)
= Exp(3.9675)
= $52.85

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(13.5172 + -0.0053 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0219)
= Exp(3.8799)
= $48.42

Description

  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 85.32% per annum.
  • FNF price at the close of March 4, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.