Old Republic International Corp (ORI)
Old Republic International Corporation (ORI) is a diversified financial services company specializing in insurance underwriting and related services, with a strong presence primarily in the United States and Canada. Headquartered in Chicago, Illinois, ORI operates through several subsidiaries, offering various insurance products including property and casualty, title insurance, and risk management solutions. The company's robust business model and strategic focus on niche markets have positioned it as a reliable player in the insurance sector, making it well-equipped to navigate market fluctuations while delivering sustainable value to its stakeholders.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 29.04% per annum.
- ORI price at the close of January 27, 2026 was $38.70 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 62.47% per annum.
- ORI price at the close of January 27, 2026 was lower than the bottom border of the secondary price channel by $3.25 (7.75%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of ORI price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: June 10, 2022
End date: January 21, 2026
a = 2.4577
b = 0.0007
s = 0.0390
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0007) – 1
= 29.04%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0390) – 1
= 16.87%
June 10, 2022 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y345)
= Exp(a + b × X345 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 498 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.4577 + 0.0007 × 498 + 2 × 0.0390)
= Exp(2.8834)
= $17.88
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y345)
= Exp(a + b × X345 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 498 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.4577 + 0.0007 × 498 – 2 × 0.0390)
= Exp(2.7275)
= $15.29
January 21, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,250)
= Exp(a + b × X1,250 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,819 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.4577 + 0.0007 × 1,819 + 2 × 0.0390)
= Exp(3.8060)
= $44.97
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,250)
= Exp(a + b × X1,250 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,819 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.4577 + 0.0007 × 1,819 – 2 × 0.0390)
= Exp(3.6501)
= $38.48
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 29.04% per annum.
- ORI price at the close of January 27, 2026 was $38.70 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: July 2, 2025
End date: January 21, 2026
a = 1.3746
b = 0.0013
s = 0.0324
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0013) – 1
= 62.47%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0324) – 1
= 13.84%
July 2, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,111)
= Exp(a + b × X1,111 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,616 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.3746 + 0.0013 × 1,616 + 2 × 0.0324)
= Exp(3.5883)
= $36.17
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,111)
= Exp(a + b × X1,111 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,616 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.3746 + 0.0013 × 1,616 – 2 × 0.0324)
= Exp(3.4586)
= $31.77
January 21, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,250)
= Exp(a + b × X1,250 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,819 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.3746 + 0.0013 × 1,819 + 2 × 0.0324)
= Exp(3.8582)
= $47.38
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,250)
= Exp(a + b × X1,250 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,819 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.3746 + 0.0013 × 1,819 – 2 × 0.0324)
= Exp(3.7286)
= $41.62
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 62.47% per annum.
- ORI price at the close of January 27, 2026 was lower than the bottom border of the secondary price channel by $3.25 (7.75%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.