Cincinnati Financial Corporation (CINF)
Cincinnati Financial Corporation (CINF) is a diversified insurance provider primarily engaged in offering property and casualty insurance through its subsidiaries, including The Cincinnati Insurance Company, The Cincinnati Indemnity Company, and The Cincinnati Casualty Company. With a strong emphasis on customer satisfaction and a long-standing reputation for financial stability, the company has developed a robust portfolio catering to individual and commercial markets. Cincinnati Financial's disciplined underwriting practices and consistent investment strategy position it well for sustained growth in an evolving insurance landscape, making it an attractive consideration for institutional investors seeking stable long-term returns.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 26.21% per annum.
- CINF price at the close of December 5, 2025 was $162.30 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 14.94% per annum.
- CINF price at the close of December 5, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of CINF price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: May 11, 2023
End date: December 5, 2025
a = 3.9489
b = 0.0006
s = 0.0501
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0006) – 1
= 26.21%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0501) – 1
= 22.20%
May 11, 2023 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y610)
= Exp(a + b × X610 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 885 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.9489 + 0.0006 × 885 + 2 × 0.0501)
= Exp(4.6134)
= $100.83
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y610)
= Exp(a + b × X610 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 885 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.9489 + 0.0006 × 885 – 2 × 0.0501)
= Exp(4.4129)
= $82.51
December 5, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.9489 + 0.0006 × 1,824 + 2 × 0.0501)
= Exp(5.2122)
= $183.50
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.9489 + 0.0006 × 1,824 – 2 × 0.0501)
= Exp(5.0117)
= $150.16
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 26.21% per annum.
- CINF price at the close of December 5, 2025 was $162.30 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: August 22, 2024
End date: December 5, 2025
a = 4.3682
b = 0.0004
s = 0.0437
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0004) – 1
= 14.94%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0437) – 1
= 19.08%
August 22, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y932)
= Exp(a + b × X932 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,354 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.3682 + 0.0004 × 1,354 + 2 × 0.0437)
= Exp(4.9722)
= $144.34
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y932)
= Exp(a + b × X932 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,354 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.3682 + 0.0004 × 1,354 – 2 × 0.0437)
= Exp(4.7975)
= $121.21
December 5, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.3682 + 0.0004 × 1,824 + 2 × 0.0437)
= Exp(5.1515)
= $172.69
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.3682 + 0.0004 × 1,824 – 2 × 0.0437)
= Exp(4.9769)
= $145.02
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 14.94% per annum.
- CINF price at the close of December 5, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.