Stock Price Trends

Chubb Ltd (CB)

Chubb Limited, headquartered in Zurich, Switzerland, is a leading global provider of diverse insurance products, including property and casualty, accident and health, reinsurance, and life insurance. As the largest publicly traded property and casualty insurer globally, Chubb leverages its extensive expertise and international presence to deliver comprehensive coverage and risk management solutions tailored to meet the needs of its clients. With a focus on innovation and customer service, Chubb remains committed to enhancing its product offerings while maintaining robust financial strength and stability in the insurance market.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 42.38% per annum.
  • CB price at the close of February 23, 2026 was $333.39 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 225.19% per annum.
  • CB price at the close of February 23, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of CB price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: July 23, 2025
End date: February 23, 2026

a = 4.0096

b = 0.0010

s = 0.0239

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0010) – 1
= 42.38%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0239) – 1
= 10.04%

July 23, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,107)
= Exp(a + b × X1,107 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,610 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.0096 + 0.0010 × 1,610 + 2 × 0.0239)
= Exp(5.6159)
= $274.77

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,107)
= Exp(a + b × X1,107 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,610 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.0096 + 0.0010 × 1,610 – 2 × 0.0239)
= Exp(5.5202)
= $249.69

February 23, 2026 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.0096 + 0.0010 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0239)
= Exp(5.8241)
= $338.34

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.0096 + 0.0010 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0239)
= Exp(5.7283)
= $307.46

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 42.38% per annum.
  • CB price at the close of February 23, 2026 was $333.39 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: January 13, 2026
End date: February 23, 2026

a = -0.0739

b = 0.0032

s = 0.0182

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0032) – 1
= 225.19%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0182) – 1
= 7.57%

January 13, 2026 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,227)
= Exp(a + b × X1,227 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,784 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.0739 + 0.0032 × 1,784 + 2 × 0.0182)
= Exp(5.7263)
= $306.83

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,227)
= Exp(a + b × X1,227 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,784 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.0739 + 0.0032 × 1,784 – 2 × 0.0182)
= Exp(5.6534)
= $285.25

February 23, 2026 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.0739 + 0.0032 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0182)
= Exp(5.8588)
= $350.29

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.0739 + 0.0032 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0182)
= Exp(5.7858)
= $325.65

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 225.19% per annum.
  • CB price at the close of February 23, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.