Chubb Ltd (CB)
Chubb Limited, headquartered in Zurich, Switzerland, is a leading global provider of diverse insurance products, including property and casualty, accident and health, reinsurance, and life insurance. As the largest publicly traded property and casualty insurer globally, Chubb leverages its extensive expertise and international presence to deliver comprehensive coverage and risk management solutions tailored to meet the needs of its clients. With a focus on innovation and customer service, Chubb remains committed to enhancing its product offerings while maintaining robust financial strength and stability in the insurance market.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 0.59% per annum.
- CB price at the close of November 25, 2025 was $297.77 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $1.94 (0.66%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 173.94% per annum.
- CB price at the close of November 25, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of CB price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: August 23, 2024
End date: November 10, 2025
a = 5.6583
b = 0.0000
s = 0.0305
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0000) – 1
= -0.59%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0305) – 1
= 13.00%
August 23, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y939)
= Exp(a + b × X939 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,365 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.6583 + 0.0000 × 1,365 + 2 × 0.0305)
= Exp(5.6972)
= $298.04
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y939)
= Exp(a + b × X939 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,365 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.6583 + 0.0000 × 1,365 – 2 × 0.0305)
= Exp(5.5751)
= $263.76
November 10, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,243)
= Exp(a + b × X1,243 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,809 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.6583 + 0.0000 × 1,809 + 2 × 0.0305)
= Exp(5.6900)
= $295.90
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,243)
= Exp(a + b × X1,243 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,809 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.6583 + 0.0000 × 1,809 – 2 × 0.0305)
= Exp(5.5678)
= $261.87
Description
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 0.59% per annum.
- CB price at the close of November 25, 2025 was $297.77 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $1.94 (0.66%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
Secondary Trend
Start date: October 16, 2025
End date: November 25, 2025
a = 0.6712
b = 0.0028
s = 0.0126
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0028) – 1
= 173.94%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0126) – 1
= 5.17%
October 16, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,226)
= Exp(a + b × X1,226 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,784 + 2 × s)
= Exp(0.6712 + 0.0028 × 1,784 + 2 × 0.0126)
= Exp(5.6219)
= $276.40
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,226)
= Exp(a + b × X1,226 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,784 – 2 × s)
= Exp(0.6712 + 0.0028 × 1,784 – 2 × 0.0126)
= Exp(5.5715)
= $262.82
November 25, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 + 2 × s)
= Exp(0.6712 + 0.0028 × 1,824 + 2 × 0.0126)
= Exp(5.7323)
= $308.68
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 – 2 × s)
= Exp(0.6712 + 0.0028 × 1,824 – 2 × 0.0126)
= Exp(5.6819)
= $293.51
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 173.94% per annum.
- CB price at the close of November 25, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.