Ichor Holdings Ltd (ICHR)
Ichor Holdings, Ltd. is a leading provider of fluid delivery subsystems and components essential for semiconductor manufacturing processes. Headquartered in Fremont, California, the company specializes in the design, engineering, and manufacturing of advanced solutions that optimize the efficiency and reliability of semiconductor capital equipment. With a robust focus on innovation and quality, Ichor plays a critical role in supporting the growth of the semiconductor industry, capitalizing on the increasing demand for high-performance devices. As a key partner to major equipment manufacturers, Ichor is strategically positioned to benefit from the ongoing evolution and expansion of the global semiconductor market.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 43.23% per annum.
- ICHR price at the close of October 27, 2025 was $23.46 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $1.59 (7.28%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 1,015.00% per annum.
- ICHR price at the close of October 27, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of ICHR price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: February 5, 2024
End date: October 10, 2025
a = 5.6535
b = -0.0016
s = 0.1312
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0016) – 1
= -43.23%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.1312) – 1
= 69.03%
February 5, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y821)
= Exp(a + b × X821 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,195 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.6535 + -0.0016 × 1,195 + 2 × 0.1312)
= Exp(4.0623)
= $58.11
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y821)
= Exp(a + b × X821 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,195 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.6535 + -0.0016 × 1,195 – 2 × 0.1312)
= Exp(3.5374)
= $34.38
October 10, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,243)
= Exp(a + b × X1,243 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,808 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.6535 + -0.0016 × 1,808 + 2 × 0.1312)
= Exp(3.1114)
= $22.45
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,243)
= Exp(a + b × X1,243 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,808 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.6535 + -0.0016 × 1,808 – 2 × 0.1312)
= Exp(2.5865)
= $13.28
Description
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 43.23% per annum.
- ICHR price at the close of October 27, 2025 was $23.46 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $1.59 (7.28%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
Secondary Trend
Start date: September 2, 2025
End date: October 27, 2025
a = -8.9323
b = 0.0066
s = 0.0488
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0066) – 1
= 1,015.00%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0488) – 1
= 21.53%
September 2, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,215)
= Exp(a + b × X1,215 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,770 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-8.9323 + 0.0066 × 1,770 + 2 × 0.0488)
= Exp(2.8591)
= $17.45
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,215)
= Exp(a + b × X1,215 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,770 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-8.9323 + 0.0066 × 1,770 – 2 × 0.0488)
= Exp(2.6640)
= $14.35
October 27, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-8.9323 + 0.0066 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0488)
= Exp(3.2224)
= $25.09
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-8.9323 + 0.0066 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0488)
= Exp(3.0274)
= $20.64
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 1,015.00% per annum.
- ICHR price at the close of October 27, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.