ICU Medical Inc (ICUI)
ICU Medical, Inc. is a leading global provider of innovative medical devices specializing in infusion therapy and critical care solutions. Headquartered in San Clemente, California, the company is committed to enhancing patient safety and improving healthcare outcomes through its advanced technologies. ICU Medical's extensive product portfolio includes infusion systems, accessories, and general critical care devices, catering to a diverse range of medical settings and patient needs worldwide. Through strategic acquisitions and continuous investment in research and development, ICU Medical is positioned to strengthen its market leadership and drive future growth in the healthcare sector.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 65.30% per annum.
- ICUI price at the close of December 15, 2025 was $148.03 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $57.29 (27.90%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 29.68% per annum.
- ICUI price at the close of December 15, 2025 was higher than the top border of the secondary price channel by $23.40 (18.78%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of ICUI price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: September 19, 2023
End date: February 26, 2025
a = 3.0751
b = 0.0014
s = 0.1317
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0014) – 1
= 65.30%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.1317) – 1
= 69.33%
September 19, 2023 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y692)
= Exp(a + b × X692 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,007 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.0751 + 0.0014 × 1,007 + 2 × 0.1317)
= Exp(4.7250)
= $112.73
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y692)
= Exp(a + b × X692 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,007 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.0751 + 0.0014 × 1,007 – 2 × 0.1317)
= Exp(4.1983)
= $66.57
February 26, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,052)
= Exp(a + b × X1,052 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,533 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.0751 + 0.0014 × 1,533 + 2 × 0.1317)
= Exp(5.4492)
= $232.58
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,052)
= Exp(a + b × X1,052 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,533 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.0751 + 0.0014 × 1,533 – 2 × 0.1317)
= Exp(4.9225)
= $137.35
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 65.30% per annum.
- ICUI price at the close of December 15, 2025 was $148.03 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $57.29 (27.90%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
Secondary Trend
Start date: August 15, 2024
End date: November 5, 2025
a = 6.4858
b = -0.0010
s = 0.0500
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0010) – 1
= -29.68%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0500) – 1
= 22.13%
August 15, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y920)
= Exp(a + b × X920 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,338 + 2 × s)
= Exp(6.4858 + -0.0010 × 1,338 + 2 × 0.0500)
= Exp(5.2951)
= $199.36
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y920)
= Exp(a + b × X920 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,338 – 2 × s)
= Exp(6.4858 + -0.0010 × 1,338 – 2 × 0.0500)
= Exp(5.0952)
= $163.23
November 5, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,227)
= Exp(a + b × X1,227 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,785 + 2 × s)
= Exp(6.4858 + -0.0010 × 1,785 + 2 × 0.0500)
= Exp(4.8639)
= $129.53
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,227)
= Exp(a + b × X1,227 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,785 – 2 × s)
= Exp(6.4858 + -0.0010 × 1,785 – 2 × 0.0500)
= Exp(4.6640)
= $106.06
Description
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 29.68% per annum.
- ICUI price at the close of December 15, 2025 was higher than the top border of the secondary price channel by $23.40 (18.78%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.