# Merit Medical Systems, Inc. (MMSI)

merit medical systems, inc. (nasdaq: mmsi) is a leading manufacturer of medical devices used in diagnostic & interventional cardiology & radiology procedures. its primary products consist of inflation devices used in angioplasty, stent placement & discography; diagnostic & therapeutic catheters used for various procedures in cardiology & radiology; guide wires used to place balloon angioplasty catheters within a patient's coronary arteries; products used to manage & monitor the administration of contrast & other fluid solutions during diagnostic & therapeutic procedures; thrombolytic catheters & fluid dispensing systems; angiography accessories; & standard & custom angiography kits. headquartered in south jordan, utah, a suburb of salt lake city, merit employs approximately 1,900 people worldwide. merit markets its products in the united states & europe (direct sales force) & the world (distributors). they call directly on physicians & clinicians in hospitals & clinics worldwide. the c

## Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

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#### Key facts

- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 0.42% per annum.
- MMSI price at the close of March 1, 2024 was $76.26 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $4.45 (6.20%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 8.60% per annum.
- MMSI price at the close of March 1, 2024 was inside the secondary price channel.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.

### Linear Regression Model

Model equation:

Y_{i} = α + β × X_{i} + ε_{i}

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y_{i}) = Exp(a + b × X_{i} + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y_{i}) = Exp(a + b × X_{i} – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number

Y_{i} - natural logarithm of MMSI price

X_{i} - time index, 1 day interval

σ - standard deviation of ε_{i}

a - estimator of α

b - estimator of β

s - estimator of σ

Exp() - calculates the exponent of e

### Primary Trend

Start date:

End date:

a =

b =

s =

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1

= Exp(365 × ) – 1

=

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1

= Exp(4 × ) – 1

=

#### November 23, 2020 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y_{})

= Exp(a + b × X_{} + 2 × s)

= Exp(a + b × + 2 × s)

= Exp( + × + 2 × )

= Exp()

= $

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y_{})

= Exp(a + b × X_{} – 2 × s)

= Exp(a + b × – 2 × s)

= Exp( + × – 2 × )

= Exp()

= $

#### October 27, 2022 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y_{})

= Exp(a + b × X_{} + 2 × s)

= Exp(a + b × + 2 × s)

= Exp( + × + 2 × )

= Exp()

= $

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y_{})

= Exp(a + b × X_{} – 2 × s)

= Exp(a + b × – 2 × s)

= Exp( + × – 2 × )

= Exp()

= $

#### Description

- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 0.42% per annum.
- MMSI price at the close of March 1, 2024 was $76.26 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $4.45 (6.20%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.

### Secondary Trend

Start date:

End date:

a =

b =

s =

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1

= Exp(365 × ) – 1

=

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1

= Exp(4 × ) – 1

=

#### November 23, 2020 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y_{})

= Exp(a + b × X_{} + 2 × s)

= Exp(a + b × + 2 × s)

= Exp( + × + 2 × )

= Exp()

= $

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y_{})

= Exp(a + b × X_{} – 2 × s)

= Exp(a + b × – 2 × s)

= Exp( + × – 2 × )

= Exp()

= $

#### March 1, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y_{})

= Exp(a + b × X_{} + 2 × s)

= Exp(a + b × + 2 × s)

= Exp( + × + 2 × )

= Exp()

= $

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y_{})

= Exp(a + b × X_{} – 2 × s)

= Exp(a + b × – 2 × s)

= Exp( + × – 2 × )

= Exp()

= $

#### Description

- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 8.60% per annum.
- MMSI price at the close of March 1, 2024 was inside the secondary price channel.