Avanos Medical Inc (AVNS)
Avanos Medical, Inc. is a leading medical technology company headquartered in Alpharetta, Georgia, dedicated to enhancing patient outcomes through innovative medical device solutions. With a strong presence in North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Asia Pacific, and Latin America, Avanos specializes in areas such as pain management and wound care. By leveraging advanced technology and a commitment to quality, Avanos aims to improve the overall quality of life for patients worldwide, positioning itself as a vital player in the global healthcare landscape.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 55.21% per annum.
- AVNS price at the close of December 5, 2025 was $11.26 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $1.86 (19.82%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 15.92% per annum.
- AVNS price at the close of December 5, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of AVNS price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: July 16, 2024
End date: August 21, 2025
a = 6.1281
b = -0.0022
s = 0.0633
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0022) – 1
= -55.21%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0633) – 1
= 28.81%
July 16, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y905)
= Exp(a + b × X905 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,317 + 2 × s)
= Exp(6.1281 + -0.0022 × 1,317 + 2 × 0.0633)
= Exp(3.3562)
= $28.68
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y905)
= Exp(a + b × X905 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,317 – 2 × s)
= Exp(6.1281 + -0.0022 × 1,317 – 2 × 0.0633)
= Exp(3.1031)
= $22.27
August 21, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,181)
= Exp(a + b × X1,181 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,718 + 2 × s)
= Exp(6.1281 + -0.0022 × 1,718 + 2 × 0.0633)
= Exp(2.4737)
= $11.87
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,181)
= Exp(a + b × X1,181 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,718 – 2 × s)
= Exp(6.1281 + -0.0022 × 1,718 – 2 × 0.0633)
= Exp(2.2206)
= $9.21
Description
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 55.21% per annum.
- AVNS price at the close of December 5, 2025 was $11.26 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $1.86 (19.82%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
Secondary Trend
Start date: April 7, 2025
End date: December 5, 2025
a = 3.2838
b = -0.0005
s = 0.0404
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0005) – 1
= -15.92%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0404) – 1
= 17.56%
April 7, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,087)
= Exp(a + b × X1,087 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,582 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.2838 + -0.0005 × 1,582 + 2 × 0.0404)
= Exp(2.6129)
= $13.64
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,087)
= Exp(a + b × X1,087 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,582 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.2838 + -0.0005 × 1,582 – 2 × 0.0404)
= Exp(2.4511)
= $11.60
December 5, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.2838 + -0.0005 × 1,824 + 2 × 0.0404)
= Exp(2.4979)
= $12.16
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.2838 + -0.0005 × 1,824 – 2 × 0.0404)
= Exp(2.3361)
= $10.34
Description
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 15.92% per annum.
- AVNS price at the close of December 5, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.