Stock Price Trends

Haemonetics Corporation (HAE)

Haemonetics Corporation, a healthcare company, offers medical products and solutions. The company is headquartered in Boston, Massachusetts.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 18.12% per annum.
  • HAE price at the close of May 17, 2024 was $95.73 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 223.63% per annum.
  • HAE price at the close of May 17, 2024 was inside the secondary price channel.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of HAE price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: May 4, 2021
End date: May 17, 2024

a = 3.7025

b = 0.0005

s = 0.1101

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0005) – 1
= 18.12%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.1101) – 1
= 55.31%

May 4, 2021 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y493)
= Exp(a + b × X493 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 715 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.7025 + 0.0005 × 715 + 2 × 0.1101)
= Exp(4.2488)
= $70.02

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y493)
= Exp(a + b × X493 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 715 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.7025 + 0.0005 × 715 – 2 × 0.1101)
= Exp(3.8085)
= $45.08

May 17, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,258)
= Exp(a + b × X1,258 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.7025 + 0.0005 × 1,824 + 2 × 0.1101)
= Exp(4.7547)
= $116.12

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,258)
= Exp(a + b × X1,258 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.7025 + 0.0005 × 1,824 – 2 × 0.1101)
= Exp(4.3144)
= $74.77

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 18.12% per annum.
  • HAE price at the close of May 17, 2024 was $95.73 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: February 13, 2024
End date: May 17, 2024

a = -1.3051

b = 0.0032

s = 0.0240

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0032) – 1
= 223.63%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0240) – 1
= 10.07%

February 13, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,192)
= Exp(a + b × X1,192 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,730 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-1.3051 + 0.0032 × 1,730 + 2 × 0.0240)
= Exp(4.3094)
= $74.40

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,192)
= Exp(a + b × X1,192 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,730 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-1.3051 + 0.0032 × 1,730 – 2 × 0.0240)
= Exp(4.2135)
= $67.59

May 17, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,258)
= Exp(a + b × X1,258 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-1.3051 + 0.0032 × 1,824 + 2 × 0.0240)
= Exp(4.6119)
= $100.67

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,258)
= Exp(a + b × X1,258 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-1.3051 + 0.0032 × 1,824 – 2 × 0.0240)
= Exp(4.5159)
= $91.46

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 223.63% per annum.
  • HAE price at the close of May 17, 2024 was inside the secondary price channel.