Stock Price Trends

Haemonetics Corporation (HAE)

Haemonetics Corporation, a healthcare company, offers medical products and solutions. The company is headquartered in Boston, Massachusetts.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 17.12% per annum.
  • HAE price at the close of July 25, 2024 was $90.60 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 2.91% per annum.
  • HAE price at the close of July 25, 2024 was inside the secondary price channel.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of HAE price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: May 4, 2021
End date: July 25, 2024

a = 3.7569

b = 0.0004

s = 0.1087

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0004) – 1
= 17.12%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.1087) – 1
= 54.48%

May 4, 2021 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y446)
= Exp(a + b × X446 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 648 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.7569 + 0.0004 × 648 + 2 × 0.1087)
= Exp(4.2549)
= $70.45

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y446)
= Exp(a + b × X446 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 648 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.7569 + 0.0004 × 648 – 2 × 0.1087)
= Exp(3.8200)
= $45.60

July 25, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,257)
= Exp(a + b × X1,257 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.7569 + 0.0004 × 1,826 + 2 × 0.1087)
= Exp(4.7649)
= $117.32

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,257)
= Exp(a + b × X1,257 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.7569 + 0.0004 × 1,826 – 2 × 0.1087)
= Exp(4.3300)
= $75.94

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 17.12% per annum.
  • HAE price at the close of July 25, 2024 was $90.60 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: October 17, 2022
End date: July 25, 2024

a = 4.3152

b = 0.0001

s = 0.0588

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0001) – 1
= 2.91%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0588) – 1
= 26.53%

October 17, 2022 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y813)
= Exp(a + b × X813 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,179 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.3152 + 0.0001 × 1,179 + 2 × 0.0588)
= Exp(4.5256)
= $92.36

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y813)
= Exp(a + b × X813 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,179 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.3152 + 0.0001 × 1,179 – 2 × 0.0588)
= Exp(4.2903)
= $72.99

July 25, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,257)
= Exp(a + b × X1,257 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.3152 + 0.0001 × 1,826 + 2 × 0.0588)
= Exp(4.5766)
= $97.18

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,257)
= Exp(a + b × X1,257 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.3152 + 0.0001 × 1,826 – 2 × 0.0588)
= Exp(4.3412)
= $76.80

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 2.91% per annum.
  • HAE price at the close of July 25, 2024 was inside the secondary price channel.