IPG Photonics Corporation (IPGP)
IPG Photonics Corporation (IPGP) is a leading global manufacturer of high-performance fiber lasers and amplifiers, primarily catering to diverse industrial applications such as materials processing, telecommunications, and medical devices. With a strong focus on innovation and technological advancement, the company has established itself as a pioneer in developing advanced laser technologies that enhance productivity and efficiency across various sectors. IPG leverages its robust intellectual property portfolio and manufacturing expertise to deliver superior quality products while maintaining a commitment to sustainability and energy efficiency, positioning itself for continued growth in the expanding laser market.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 81.89% per annum.
- IPGP price at the close of March 2, 2026 was $135.14 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $14.64 (12.15%).
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 8,465.99% per annum.
- IPGP price at the close of March 2, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of IPGP price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: February 11, 2025
End date: November 13, 2025
a = 1.6717
b = 0.0016
s = 0.0645
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0016) – 1
= 81.89%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0645) – 1
= 29.41%
February 11, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y991)
= Exp(a + b × X991 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,441 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.6717 + 0.0016 × 1,441 + 2 × 0.0645)
= Exp(4.1623)
= $64.22
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y991)
= Exp(a + b × X991 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,441 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.6717 + 0.0016 × 1,441 – 2 × 0.0645)
= Exp(3.9045)
= $49.62
November 13, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,182)
= Exp(a + b × X1,182 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,716 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.6717 + 0.0016 × 1,716 + 2 × 0.0645)
= Exp(4.6130)
= $100.79
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,182)
= Exp(a + b × X1,182 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,716 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.6717 + 0.0016 × 1,716 – 2 × 0.0645)
= Exp(4.3552)
= $77.88
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 81.89% per annum.
- IPGP price at the close of March 2, 2026 was $135.14 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $14.64 (12.15%).
Secondary Trend
Start date: December 29, 2025
End date: March 2, 2026
a = -17.2783
b = 0.0122
s = 0.0797
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0122) – 1
= 8,465.99%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0797) – 1
= 37.55%
December 29, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,212)
= Exp(a + b × X1,212 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,762 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-17.2783 + 0.0122 × 1,762 + 2 × 0.0797)
= Exp(4.3649)
= $78.64
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,212)
= Exp(a + b × X1,212 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,762 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-17.2783 + 0.0122 × 1,762 – 2 × 0.0797)
= Exp(4.0460)
= $57.17
March 2, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-17.2783 + 0.0122 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0797)
= Exp(5.1330)
= $169.53
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-17.2783 + 0.0122 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0797)
= Exp(4.8142)
= $123.24
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 8,465.99% per annum.
- IPGP price at the close of March 2, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.