Stock Price Trends

IPG Photonics Corporation (IPGP)

IPG Photonics Corporation (IPGP) is a leading global manufacturer of high-performance fiber lasers and amplifiers, primarily catering to diverse industrial applications such as materials processing, telecommunications, and medical devices. With a strong focus on innovation and technological advancement, the company has established itself as a pioneer in developing advanced laser technologies that enhance productivity and efficiency across various sectors. IPG leverages its robust intellectual property portfolio and manufacturing expertise to deliver superior quality products while maintaining a commitment to sustainability and energy efficiency, positioning itself for continued growth in the expanding laser market.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 105.30% per annum.
  • IPGP price at the close of October 29, 2025 was $86.37 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 68.15% per annum.
  • IPGP price at the close of October 29, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of IPGP price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: April 24, 2025
End date: October 29, 2025

a = 0.8941

b = 0.0020

s = 0.0349

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0020) – 1
= 105.30%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0349) – 1
= 14.97%

April 24, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,124)
= Exp(a + b × X1,124 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,637 + 2 × s)
= Exp(0.8941 + 0.0020 × 1,637 + 2 × 0.0349)
= Exp(4.1900)
= $66.02

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,124)
= Exp(a + b × X1,124 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,637 – 2 × s)
= Exp(0.8941 + 0.0020 × 1,637 – 2 × 0.0349)
= Exp(4.0505)
= $57.43

October 29, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(0.8941 + 0.0020 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0349)
= Exp(4.5605)
= $95.63

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(0.8941 + 0.0020 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0349)
= Exp(4.4210)
= $83.18

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 105.30% per annum.
  • IPGP price at the close of October 29, 2025 was $86.37 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: July 2, 2025
End date: October 29, 2025

a = 1.8659

b = 0.0014

s = 0.0268

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0014) – 1
= 68.15%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0268) – 1
= 11.32%

July 2, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,171)
= Exp(a + b × X1,171 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,706 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.8659 + 0.0014 × 1,706 + 2 × 0.0268)
= Exp(4.3485)
= $77.37

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,171)
= Exp(a + b × X1,171 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,706 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.8659 + 0.0014 × 1,706 – 2 × 0.0268)
= Exp(4.2413)
= $69.50

October 29, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.8659 + 0.0014 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0268)
= Exp(4.5180)
= $91.65

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.8659 + 0.0014 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0268)
= Exp(4.4108)
= $82.33

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 68.15% per annum.
  • IPGP price at the close of October 29, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.