IPG Photonics Corporation (IPGP)
IPG Photonics Corporation (IPGP) is a leading global manufacturer of high-performance fiber lasers and amplifiers, primarily catering to diverse industrial applications such as materials processing, telecommunications, and medical devices. With a strong focus on innovation and technological advancement, the company has established itself as a pioneer in developing advanced laser technologies that enhance productivity and efficiency across various sectors. IPG leverages its robust intellectual property portfolio and manufacturing expertise to deliver superior quality products while maintaining a commitment to sustainability and energy efficiency, positioning itself for continued growth in the expanding laser market.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 90.46% per annum.
- IPGP price at the close of November 24, 2025 was $76.59 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $4.45 (5.49%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 99.26% per annum.
- IPGP price at the close of November 24, 2025 was higher than the top border of the secondary price channel by $3.26 (4.44%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of IPGP price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: February 24, 2025
End date: November 12, 2025
a = 1.2942
b = 0.0018
s = 0.0604
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0018) – 1
= 90.46%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0604) – 1
= 27.32%
February 24, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,064)
= Exp(a + b × X1,064 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,552 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.2942 + 0.0018 × 1,552 + 2 × 0.0604)
= Exp(4.1545)
= $63.72
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,064)
= Exp(a + b × X1,064 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,552 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.2942 + 0.0018 × 1,552 – 2 × 0.0604)
= Exp(3.9130)
= $50.05
November 12, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,246)
= Exp(a + b × X1,246 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,813 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.2942 + 0.0018 × 1,813 + 2 × 0.0604)
= Exp(4.6152)
= $101.01
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,246)
= Exp(a + b × X1,246 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,813 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.2942 + 0.0018 × 1,813 – 2 × 0.0604)
= Exp(4.3737)
= $79.34
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 90.46% per annum.
- IPGP price at the close of November 24, 2025 was $76.59 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $4.45 (5.49%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
Secondary Trend
Start date: November 5, 2025
End date: November 21, 2025
a = 28.7590
b = -0.0134
s = 0.0192
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0134) – 1
= -99.26%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0192) – 1
= 7.98%
November 5, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,241)
= Exp(a + b × X1,241 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,806 + 2 × s)
= Exp(28.7590 + -0.0134 × 1,806 + 2 × 0.0192)
= Exp(4.5501)
= $94.64
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,241)
= Exp(a + b × X1,241 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,806 – 2 × s)
= Exp(28.7590 + -0.0134 × 1,806 – 2 × 0.0192)
= Exp(4.4733)
= $87.65
November 21, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,253)
= Exp(a + b × X1,253 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,822 + 2 × s)
= Exp(28.7590 + -0.0134 × 1,822 + 2 × 0.0192)
= Exp(4.3353)
= $76.35
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,253)
= Exp(a + b × X1,253 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,822 – 2 × s)
= Exp(28.7590 + -0.0134 × 1,822 – 2 × 0.0192)
= Exp(4.2585)
= $70.70
Description
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 99.26% per annum.
- IPGP price at the close of November 24, 2025 was higher than the top border of the secondary price channel by $3.26 (4.44%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.