Stock Price Trends

Worthington Steel Inc (WS)

Worthington Steel, Inc. is a steel processor in North America. The company is headquartered in Columbus, Ohio.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 80.16% per annum.
  • WS price at the close of April 1, 2025 was $25.38 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 57.06% per annum.
  • WS price at the close of April 1, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of WS price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: November 6, 2024
End date: April 1, 2025

a = 5.3252

b = -0.0044

s = 0.0764

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0044) – 1
= -80.16%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0764) – 1
= 35.76%

November 6, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y237)
= Exp(a + b × X237 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 344 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.3252 + -0.0044 × 344 + 2 × 0.0764)
= Exp(3.9535)
= $52.12

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y237)
= Exp(a + b × X237 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 344 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.3252 + -0.0044 × 344 – 2 × 0.0764)
= Exp(3.6478)
= $38.39

April 1, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y335)
= Exp(a + b × X335 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 490 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.3252 + -0.0044 × 490 + 2 × 0.0764)
= Exp(3.3065)
= $27.29

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y335)
= Exp(a + b × X335 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 490 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.3252 + -0.0044 × 490 – 2 × 0.0764)
= Exp(3.0008)
= $20.10

Description

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 80.16% per annum.
  • WS price at the close of April 1, 2025 was $25.38 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: December 19, 2024
End date: April 1, 2025

a = 4.3663

b = -0.0023

s = 0.0293

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0023) – 1
= -57.06%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0293) – 1
= 12.42%

December 19, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y267)
= Exp(a + b × X267 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 387 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.3663 + -0.0023 × 387 + 2 × 0.0293)
= Exp(3.5285)
= $34.07

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y267)
= Exp(a + b × X267 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 387 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.3663 + -0.0023 × 387 – 2 × 0.0293)
= Exp(3.4115)
= $30.31

April 1, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y335)
= Exp(a + b × X335 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 490 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.3663 + -0.0023 × 490 + 2 × 0.0293)
= Exp(3.2900)
= $26.84

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y335)
= Exp(a + b × X335 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 490 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.3663 + -0.0023 × 490 – 2 × 0.0293)
= Exp(3.1729)
= $23.88

Description

  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 57.06% per annum.
  • WS price at the close of April 1, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.