CNO Financial Group Inc (CNO)
CNO Financial Group, Inc. is a leading provider of health insurance, annuities, and life insurance products, specifically designed for the middle-income and senior markets in the United States. Headquartered in Carmel, Indiana, the company leverages a multi-channel distribution strategy, including independent agents and direct-to-consumer platforms, to serve its diverse clientele. CNO is committed to delivering innovative financial solutions while maintaining a strong focus on customer service and community engagement, positioning itself as a trusted partner in the financial well-being of its customers. With a robust portfolio and a strategic growth mindset, CNO continues to enhance its market presence and shareholder value.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 30.15% per annum.
- CNO price at the close of February 11, 2026 was $43.08 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 7.78% per annum.
- CNO price at the close of February 11, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of CNO price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: June 8, 2022
End date: February 11, 2026
a = 2.4954
b = 0.0007
s = 0.0740
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0007) – 1
= 30.15%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0740) – 1
= 34.43%
June 8, 2022 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y332)
= Exp(a + b × X332 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 481 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.4954 + 0.0007 × 481 + 2 × 0.0740)
= Exp(2.9906)
= $19.90
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y332)
= Exp(a + b × X332 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 481 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.4954 + 0.0007 × 481 – 2 × 0.0740)
= Exp(2.6947)
= $14.80
February 11, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.4954 + 0.0007 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0740)
= Exp(3.9610)
= $52.51
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.4954 + 0.0007 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0740)
= Exp(3.6651)
= $39.06
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 30.15% per annum.
- CNO price at the close of February 11, 2026 was $43.08 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: November 6, 2024
End date: February 11, 2026
a = 3.3363
b = 0.0002
s = 0.0424
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0002) – 1
= 7.78%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0424) – 1
= 18.49%
November 6, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y939)
= Exp(a + b × X939 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,363 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.3363 + 0.0002 × 1,363 + 2 × 0.0424)
= Exp(3.7008)
= $40.48
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y939)
= Exp(a + b × X939 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,363 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.3363 + 0.0002 × 1,363 – 2 × 0.0424)
= Exp(3.5311)
= $34.16
February 11, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.3363 + 0.0002 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0424)
= Exp(3.7956)
= $44.51
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.3363 + 0.0002 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0424)
= Exp(3.6259)
= $37.56
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 7.78% per annum.
- CNO price at the close of February 11, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.