Jackson Financial Inc (JXN)
None
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 8.47% per annum.
- JXN price at the close of December 19, 2025 was $107.69 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 59.91% per annum.
- JXN price at the close of December 19, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of JXN price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: July 15, 2024
End date: December 9, 2025
a = 4.1812
b = 0.0002
s = 0.0884
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0002) – 1
= 8.47%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0884) – 1
= 42.40%
July 15, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y719)
= Exp(a + b × X719 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,048 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.1812 + 0.0002 × 1,048 + 2 × 0.0884)
= Exp(4.5915)
= $98.64
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y719)
= Exp(a + b × X719 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,048 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.1812 + 0.0002 × 1,048 – 2 × 0.0884)
= Exp(4.2380)
= $69.27
December 9, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,072)
= Exp(a + b × X1,072 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,560 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.1812 + 0.0002 × 1,560 + 2 × 0.0884)
= Exp(4.7056)
= $110.56
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,072)
= Exp(a + b × X1,072 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,560 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.1812 + 0.0002 × 1,560 – 2 × 0.0884)
= Exp(4.3521)
= $77.64
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 8.47% per annum.
- JXN price at the close of December 19, 2025 was $107.69 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: April 3, 2025
End date: December 19, 2025
a = 2.6348
b = 0.0013
s = 0.0478
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0013) – 1
= 59.91%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0478) – 1
= 21.06%
April 3, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y900)
= Exp(a + b × X900 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,310 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.6348 + 0.0013 × 1,310 + 2 × 0.0478)
= Exp(4.4153)
= $82.70
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y900)
= Exp(a + b × X900 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,310 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.6348 + 0.0013 × 1,310 – 2 × 0.0478)
= Exp(4.2242)
= $68.32
December 19, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,080)
= Exp(a + b × X1,080 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,570 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.6348 + 0.0013 × 1,570 + 2 × 0.0478)
= Exp(4.7497)
= $115.55
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,080)
= Exp(a + b × X1,080 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,570 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.6348 + 0.0013 × 1,570 – 2 × 0.0478)
= Exp(4.5586)
= $95.45
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 59.91% per annum.
- JXN price at the close of December 19, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.