Jackson Financial Inc (JXN)
None
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 9.12% per annum.
- JXN price at the close of September 17, 2025 was $96.79 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $1.39 (1.46%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 90.49% per annum.
- JXN price at the close of September 17, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of JXN price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: August 13, 2024
End date: August 8, 2025
a = 4.7856
b = -0.0003
s = 0.0797
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0003) – 1
= -9.12%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0797) – 1
= 37.55%
August 13, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y740)
= Exp(a + b × X740 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,077 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.7856 + -0.0003 × 1,077 + 2 × 0.0797)
= Exp(4.6629)
= $105.94
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y740)
= Exp(a + b × X740 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,077 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.7856 + -0.0003 × 1,077 – 2 × 0.0797)
= Exp(4.3440)
= $77.02
August 8, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y987)
= Exp(a + b × X987 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,437 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.7856 + -0.0003 × 1,437 + 2 × 0.0797)
= Exp(4.5686)
= $96.40
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y987)
= Exp(a + b × X987 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,437 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.7856 + -0.0003 × 1,437 – 2 × 0.0797)
= Exp(4.2497)
= $70.09
Description
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 9.12% per annum.
- JXN price at the close of September 17, 2025 was $96.79 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $1.39 (1.46%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
Secondary Trend
Start date: April 3, 2025
End date: September 17, 2025
a = 1.9796
b = 0.0018
s = 0.0357
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0018) – 1
= 90.49%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0357) – 1
= 15.37%
April 3, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y900)
= Exp(a + b × X900 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,310 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.9796 + 0.0018 × 1,310 + 2 × 0.0357)
= Exp(4.3640)
= $78.57
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y900)
= Exp(a + b × X900 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,310 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.9796 + 0.0018 × 1,310 – 2 × 0.0357)
= Exp(4.2210)
= $68.10
September 17, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,014)
= Exp(a + b × X1,014 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,477 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.9796 + 0.0018 × 1,477 + 2 × 0.0357)
= Exp(4.6589)
= $105.52
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,014)
= Exp(a + b × X1,014 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,477 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.9796 + 0.0018 × 1,477 – 2 × 0.0357)
= Exp(4.5159)
= $91.46
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 90.49% per annum.
- JXN price at the close of September 17, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.