Jackson Financial Inc (JXN)
None
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 8.47% per annum.
- JXN price at the close of January 5, 2026 was $109.71 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 60.77% per annum.
- JXN price at the close of January 5, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of JXN price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: July 15, 2024
End date: December 9, 2025
a = 4.1812
b = 0.0002
s = 0.0884
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0002) – 1
= 8.47%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0884) – 1
= 42.40%
July 15, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y719)
= Exp(a + b × X719 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,048 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.1812 + 0.0002 × 1,048 + 2 × 0.0884)
= Exp(4.5915)
= $98.64
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y719)
= Exp(a + b × X719 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,048 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.1812 + 0.0002 × 1,048 – 2 × 0.0884)
= Exp(4.2380)
= $69.27
December 9, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,072)
= Exp(a + b × X1,072 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,560 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.1812 + 0.0002 × 1,560 + 2 × 0.0884)
= Exp(4.7056)
= $110.56
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,072)
= Exp(a + b × X1,072 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,560 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.1812 + 0.0002 × 1,560 – 2 × 0.0884)
= Exp(4.3521)
= $77.64
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 8.47% per annum.
- JXN price at the close of January 5, 2026 was $109.71 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: April 3, 2025
End date: January 5, 2026
a = 2.6142
b = 0.0013
s = 0.0468
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0013) – 1
= 60.77%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0468) – 1
= 20.56%
April 3, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y900)
= Exp(a + b × X900 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,310 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.6142 + 0.0013 × 1,310 + 2 × 0.0468)
= Exp(4.4119)
= $82.43
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y900)
= Exp(a + b × X900 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,310 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.6142 + 0.0013 × 1,310 – 2 × 0.0468)
= Exp(4.2249)
= $68.37
January 5, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,089)
= Exp(a + b × X1,089 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,587 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.6142 + 0.0013 × 1,587 + 2 × 0.0468)
= Exp(4.7723)
= $118.19
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,089)
= Exp(a + b × X1,089 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,587 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.6142 + 0.0013 × 1,587 – 2 × 0.0468)
= Exp(4.5853)
= $98.03
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 60.77% per annum.
- JXN price at the close of January 5, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.