Stock Price Trends

Independence Realty Trust Inc (IRT)

Independence Realty Trust, Inc. (NYSE: IRT) is a real estate investment trust (REIT) focused on acquiring, owning, and managing multi-family residential properties in growth-oriented U.S. markets such as Atlanta, Louisville, Memphis, and Raleigh. The company strategically targets non-gateway markets, aiming to capitalize on increasing demand for affordable rental housing in the suburbs and secondary cities. With a strong portfolio and a commitment to enhancing the resident experience, IRT is well-positioned to benefit from favorable economic trends and demographic shifts within the multi-family housing sector.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 13.68% per annum.
  • IRT price at the close of February 26, 2026 was $16.90 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 14.98% per annum.
  • IRT price at the close of February 26, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.
  • The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of IRT price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: August 26, 2024
End date: February 26, 2026

a = 3.5141

b = -0.0004

s = 0.0457

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0004) – 1
= -13.68%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0457) – 1
= 20.06%

August 26, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y878)
= Exp(a + b × X878 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,274 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.5141 + -0.0004 × 1,274 + 2 × 0.0457)
= Exp(3.0923)
= $22.03

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y878)
= Exp(a + b × X878 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,274 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.5141 + -0.0004 × 1,274 – 2 × 0.0457)
= Exp(2.9094)
= $18.35

February 26, 2026 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.5141 + -0.0004 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0457)
= Exp(2.8711)
= $17.66

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.5141 + -0.0004 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0457)
= Exp(2.6882)
= $14.71

Description

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 13.68% per annum.
  • IRT price at the close of February 26, 2026 was $16.90 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: September 24, 2025
End date: February 26, 2026

a = 2.1389

b = 0.0004

s = 0.0249

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0004) – 1
= 14.98%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0249) – 1
= 10.47%

September 24, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,148)
= Exp(a + b × X1,148 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,668 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.1389 + 0.0004 × 1,668 + 2 × 0.0249)
= Exp(2.8265)
= $16.89

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,148)
= Exp(a + b × X1,148 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,668 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.1389 + 0.0004 × 1,668 – 2 × 0.0249)
= Exp(2.7269)
= $15.29

February 26, 2026 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.1389 + 0.0004 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0249)
= Exp(2.8858)
= $17.92

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.1389 + 0.0004 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0249)
= Exp(2.7862)
= $16.22

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 14.98% per annum.
  • IRT price at the close of February 26, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.